xPTS = expected standings points: every game's unblocked shots are replayed by their xG to get the chance each team deserved to win (DtW), and that is turned into points (a tie = OT, loser keeps a point). League totals are scaled to actual points. Δ = points − xPTS. OVER / UNDER = Δ more than one standard deviation of game-to-game luck, else LEGIT. Δ isn't all luck: elite goaltending and finishing are real skills the shot model can't see, so a team can live above its xPTS for a full season — the Fin± and Save± columns show which. PROJ = today's points + the remaining 84-game schedule at the team's xPTS pace, regressed toward league average. xGF% = share of 5v5 expected goals. CF% = shot-attempt share. GF% = actual 5v5 goal share. PDO = 5v5 shooting% + save% (~100 = average, regresses). Fin± = goals minus expected; Save± = expected goals against minus goals allowed. Tap a team for its trend and game-by-game verdicts.