DtW (Deserve to Win) = how often teams that generated this game's shots, by expected-goal value, actually win — every unblocked shot is replayed by its xG (empty-net and shootout excluded), then calibrated against 6,500+ real results, so 60% means teams in that spot won 60% of the time. The verdict reads the winner's DtW: DESERVED ≥ 60%, TOSS-UP 40–60%, STOLE IT < 40%. Most NHL games are toss-ups on the shots. Tap a game for its xG flow, skaters and goalies.