Sat Nov 7 · 2026-27
VAN2FINAL
4EDM
VAN 48%DESERVE TO WIN52% EDM
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — EDM had a 52% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
VANEDM
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| VAN | EDM | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 4 |
| xG (all) | 2.30 | 2.33 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.11 | 1.80 |
| Shot attempts | 44 | 50 |
| Shots on goal | 22 | 30 |
VAN skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Hronek | 29.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | -0.37 |
| Brock Boeser | 20.4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | -0.47 |
| Guillaume Brisebois | 17.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.13 | +0.04 |
| Max Sasson | 14.4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | +0.25 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 15.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.59 |
| Elias Pettersson | 21.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.50 |
| Jonathan Lekkerimäki | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.45 | -0.34 |
| Linus Karlsson | 12.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.41 | +0.20 |
| Jake DeBrusk | 16.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.31 | -0.38 |
| Paul Cotter | 14.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | -0.42 |
| Drew O'Connor | 14.5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.11 | +0.26 |
| Brendan Gallagher | 11.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | -0.13 |
| Liam Ohgren | 11.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | +0.05 |
| Zeev Buium | 26.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.73 |
| Marco Rossi | 13.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.01 |
| Luke Schenn | 11.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | +0.13 |
| Elias Pettersson | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.15 |
| Arshdeep Bains | 13.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.56 |
EDM skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | 24.5 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0.92 | +0.26 |
| Connor McDavid | 25.2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0.25 | +0.67 |
| Jason Dickinson | 14.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.45 | +0.19 |
| Zach Hyman | 20.9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.30 | +0.51 |
| Mattias Ekholm | 21.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | +0.43 |
| Mathieu Joseph | 13.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.05 | +0.21 |
| Ty Emberson | 13.9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.02 | +0.45 |
| Evan Bouchard | 24.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.44 |
| Trent Frederic | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.23 | +0.11 |
| Vasily Podkolzin | 17.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.13 |
| Connor Murphy | 21.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.06 | -0.22 |
| Owen Michaels | 9.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | +0.05 |
| Kasperi Kapanen | 17.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | -0.26 |
| Max Jones | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | +0.11 |
| Ryan Shea | 21.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.06 |
| Shakir Mukhamadullin | 14.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.32 |
| Alex Formenton | 12.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.13 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.05 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Levi | EDM | 35 | 2 | 2.30 | +0.30 |
| Leevi Meriläinen | VAN | 39 | 3 | 2.33 | -0.67 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.