Sat Nov 7 · 2026-27
PIT5FINAL
2LAK
PIT 36%DESERVE TO WIN64% LAK
STOLE IT
PIT stole it — only a 36% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
PITLAK
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| PIT | LAK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 5 | 2 |
| xG (all) | 2.25 | 3.71 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.91 | 2.43 |
| Shot attempts | 50 | 71 |
| Shots on goal | 19 | 28 |
PIT skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evgeni Malkin | 16.9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.17 | -0.19 |
| Sidney Crosby | 18.8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.54 | -0.10 |
| Tommy Novak | 15.5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.53 | +0.35 |
| Kris Letang | 19.0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.07 | +0.33 |
| Egor Chinakhov | 12.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.24 | +0.36 |
| Ben Kindel | 16.4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.18 | +0.48 |
| Declan Carlile | 19.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.15 | +0.35 |
| Erik Karlsson | 23.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | +0.31 |
| Ville Koivunen | 12.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.56 |
| Rickard Rakell | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.19 | -0.24 |
| Hendrix Lapierre | 11.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | -0.50 |
| Kaedan Korczak | 17.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | -1.07 |
| Justin Brazeau | 11.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | -0.44 |
| Samuel Girard | 19.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -1.19 |
| Nick Robertson | 14.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.17 |
| Blake Lizotte | 14.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.34 |
| Spencer Stastney | 17.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.25 |
| Connor Dewar | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.38 |
LAK skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Laferriere | 19.0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1.04 | +1.11 |
| Corey Perry | 14.8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.72 | +0.48 |
| Artemi Panarin | 21.4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.40 | +0.96 |
| Adrian Kempe | 19.3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.28 | +0.50 |
| Erik Gustafsson | 20.8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.12 | +0.53 |
| Mikey Anderson | 18.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | +0.30 |
| Andre Lee | 10.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.32 | -0.39 |
| Quinton Byfield | 19.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.26 | +0.10 |
| Trevor Moore | 16.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | -0.18 |
| Erik Haula | 15.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | -0.15 |
| Joel Armia | 11.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.02 |
| Alex Turcotte | 10.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.39 |
| Brian Dumoulin | 17.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | +0.00 |
| Drew Doughty | 21.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.19 |
| Kenny Connors | 11.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Brandt Clarke | 18.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.63 |
| Joel Edmundson | 17.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| Scott Laughton | 12.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.46 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper | LAK | 33 | 4 | 2.25 | -1.75 |
| Sergei Murashov | PIT | 49 | 2 | 3.71 | +1.71 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.