Sat Nov 7 · 2026-27
DET0FINAL
4COL
DET 38%DESERVE TO WIN62% COL
DESERVED
COL earned it — a 62% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
DETCOL
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| DET | COL | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 4 |
| xG (all) | 2.05 | 3.26 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.79 | 1.62 |
| Shot attempts | 49 | 59 |
| Shots on goal | 27 | 29 |
DET skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Raymond | 18.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.52 | +0.20 |
| J.T. Compher | 16.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.24 | +0.15 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.22 | +0.01 |
| John Leonard | 10.3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.22 | +0.21 |
| Michael Brandsegg-Nygård | 15.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.20 | -0.16 |
| Andrew Copp | 19.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | +0.29 |
| Alex DeBrincat | 16.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | -0.46 |
| Carter Mazur | 9.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | +0.13 |
| Sheldon Dries | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | +0.15 |
| Emmitt Finnie | 19.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.38 |
| Anton Johansson | 12.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.09 |
| Justin Faulk | 24.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | +0.24 |
| Ben Chiarot | 20.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.10 |
| Michael Rasmussen | 13.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.21 |
| William Wallinder | 21.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | +0.14 |
| Moritz Seider | 19.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.26 |
| Andreas Englund | 17.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.40 |
| Keegan Kolesar | 9.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.13 |
COL skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Necas | 18.6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.79 | +0.02 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 20.3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0.34 | +0.01 |
| Cale Makar | 22.7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.09 | +0.59 |
| T.J. Hughes | 17.1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.46 | -0.26 |
| Devon Toews | 24.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | +0.41 |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 16.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.38 | +0.01 |
| Parker Kelly | 14.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.35 | +0.22 |
| Nazem Kadri | 17.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.26 | -0.27 |
| Brock Nelson | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | -0.06 |
| Logan O'Connor | 12.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | +0.23 |
| Noah Juulsen | 11.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | +0.08 |
| Jaden Schwartz | 11.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | -0.11 |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 12.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.28 |
| Brett Kulak | 20.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | -0.61 |
| Brent Burns | 15.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | -0.42 |
| Sam Malinski | 18.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | -0.31 |
| Nicolas Roy | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.17 |
| Fedor Svechkov | 11.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.12 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood | COL | 35 | 0 | 2.05 | +2.05 |
| Daniil Tarasov | DET | 38 | 4 | 3.26 | -0.74 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.