Sat Nov 7 · 2026-27
TBL4FINAL OT
3MIN
TBL 63%DESERVE TO WIN37% MIN
DESERVED
TBL earned it — a 63% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
TBLMIN
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| TBL | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 3 |
| xG (all) | 4.13 | 2.23 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.18 | 0.91 |
| Shot attempts | 83 | 42 |
| Shots on goal | 34 | 22 |
TBL skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Guentzel | 24.6 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0.71 | +0.18 |
| Charle-Edouard D'Astous | 24.6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.33 | +0.35 |
| Nikita Kucherov | 25.5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1.24 | +0.50 |
| Brayden Point | 21.9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.25 | +0.19 |
| John Carlson | 22.2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.22 | +0.37 |
| Brandon Hagel | 17.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.49 | +0.44 |
| Pontus Holmberg | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | +0.51 |
| Conor Geekie | 9.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.17 | +0.16 |
| Ilya Mikheyev | 13.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.55 |
| Anthony Cirelli | 13.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | +0.47 |
| Jeffrey Viel | 7.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.16 |
| Zemgus Girgensons | 17.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.45 |
| Scott Sabourin | 8.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.16 |
| Erik Cernak | 18.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | +0.67 |
| J.J. Moser | 19.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | +0.24 |
| Ryan McDonagh | 16.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | +0.59 |
| Victor Hedman | 20.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | +0.34 |
| Gage Goncalves | 10.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.11 |
MIN skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Shabanov | 12.9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.48 | -0.18 |
| Kirill Kaprizov | 20.4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0.52 | -0.63 |
| Olli Maatta | 22.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.18 | -0.19 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 19.1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.17 | -0.10 |
| Quinn Hughes | 29.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.88 |
| Blake Coleman | 20.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.24 |
| Matt Boldy | 21.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.32 | -0.31 |
| Yakov Trenin | 12.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | -0.11 |
| Ryan Hartman | 15.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | -0.52 |
| Jonas Brodin | 26.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | -0.98 |
| Bobby Brink | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.45 |
| Matt Kiersted | 14.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | -0.02 |
| Zach Bogosian | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | -0.34 |
| Danila Yurov | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.27 |
| Nico Sturm | 11.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.32 |
| David Spacek | 9.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.17 |
| Nick Foligno | 8.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.32 |
| Marcus Foligno | 8.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.34 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Pickard | MIN | 59 | 4 | 4.13 | +0.13 |
| Dennis Hildeby | TBL | 31 | 3 | 2.23 | -0.77 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.