ON-ICE IQ · SJS 3 @ DAL 4

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Sat Nov 7 · 2026-27

SJS3

FINAL

4DAL

SJS 36%DESERVE TO WIN64% DAL

DESERVED DAL earned it — a 64% chance to win on the shots.

Expected goals flow

SJSDAL cumulative xG · dots = goals

	SJS	DAL
Goals	3	4
xG (all)	3.09	4.83
xG (5v5)	1.85	2.33
Shot attempts	52	62
Shots on goal	23	30

SJS skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Macklin Celebrini	28.1	0	3	6	0.54	-0.47
Will Smith	23.7	1	1	3	0.57	-0.46
Ivar Stenberg	19.0	1	0	2	0.59	+0.10
Michael Misa	15.6	1	0	1	0.45	-0.45
Mason Marchment	19.5	0	1	1	0.16	-0.27
Eric Pohlkamp	14.7	0	1	0	0.00	-0.67
Jacob Trouba	20.5	0	0	3	0.27	+0.28
Tyler Toffoli	15.6	0	0	2	0.22	-0.09
Filip Bystedt	4.7	0	0	1	0.13	+0.26
Ty Dellandrea	11.7	0	0	1	0.08	-0.20
Sam Dickinson	15.9	0	0	0	0.04	+0.26
Adam Gaudette	8.9	0	0	1	0.02	+0.08
Dmitry Orlov	12.7	0	0	1	0.02	-0.50
Kiefer Sherwood	17.3	0	0	1	0.01	-0.22
Darnell Nurse	21.9	0	0	0	0.01	-0.25
Michael Kesselring	17.6	0	0	0	0.00	-0.07
Collin Graf	15.7	0	0	0	0.00	+0.04
Barclay Goodrow	9.4	0	0	0	0.00	+0.25

DAL skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Thomas Harley	24.2	1	2	2	0.32	-0.41
Wyatt Johnston	19.1	0	2	5	1.47	-0.05
Roope Hintz	16.1	1	1	4	0.90	-0.07
Mikko Rantanen	16.0	0	2	3	0.28	+0.29
Jamie Benn	13.9	1	0	3	0.45	+0.90
Jason Robertson	17.7	1	0	3	0.32	-0.16
Tyler Seguin	12.0	0	0	2	0.37	+0.97
Justin Hryckowian	14.3	0	0	0	0.26	+0.52
David Perron	8.4	0	0	0	0.19	+0.17
Sam Steel	15.4	0	0	1	0.15	-0.10
Lian Bichsel	18.2	0	0	1	0.05	+0.47
Arttu Hyry	16.5	0	0	0	0.03	-0.25
Esa Lindell	26.2	0	0	2	0.02	+0.63
Trey Taylor	9.6	0	0	1	0.01	-0.08
Nils Lundkvist	14.7	0	0	1	0.01	+0.77
Radek Faksa	11.8	0	0	1	0.00	-0.15
Joel Kiviranta	12.3	0	0	1	0.00	-0.65
Tyler Myers	20.4	0	0	0	0.00	-0.44

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Alex Nedeljkovic	SJS	48	4	4.83	+0.83
Jake Oettinger	DAL	36	3	3.09	+0.09

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.