Sat Nov 7 · 2026-27
CHI2FINAL
9CAR
CHI 26%DESERVE TO WIN74% CAR
DESERVED
CAR earned it — a 74% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
CHICAR
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| CHI | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 9 |
| xG (all) | 1.56 | 4.22 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.56 | 3.96 |
| Shot attempts | 41 | 58 |
| Shots on goal | 20 | 33 |
CHI skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Bedard | 17.4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.41 | -0.44 |
| Alex Vlasic | 21.4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.48 |
| Roman Kantserov | 16.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.32 | -0.48 |
| Frank Nazar | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.24 | -0.70 |
| Artyom Levshunov | 18.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | -0.73 |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 17.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | -0.41 |
| Dillon Boucher | 9.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | -0.23 |
| Sam Rinzel | 21.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | -1.37 |
| Jordan Greenway | 10.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | -0.24 |
| Ryan Donato | 14.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | -0.95 |
| Wyatt Kaiser | 20.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -1.43 |
| Kevin Korchinski | 16.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | -0.07 |
| Cole Smith | 12.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.56 |
| Ian Cole | 21.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | -0.72 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 16.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.90 |
| Ryan Greene | 17.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -1.07 |
| Anton Frondell | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.63 |
| Oliver Moore | 13.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.58 |
CAR skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Aho | 14.9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.19 | +0.59 |
| Jordan Martinook | 14.4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.75 | +0.93 |
| Andrei Svechnikov | 15.7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0.59 | +0.66 |
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi | 14.4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.50 | +0.85 |
| Eric Robinson | 16.8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.18 | +0.55 |
| William Carrier | 9.4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.10 | +0.68 |
| Alexander Nikishin | 20.4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | +0.61 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | 20.6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.07 | +0.61 |
| Taylor Hall | 16.2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.76 | +1.53 |
| Seth Jarvis | 14.1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | +1.04 |
| Jackson Blake | 17.6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.19 | +0.02 |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | 15.7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | -0.60 |
| Sean Walker | 19.9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.05 | +1.66 |
| K'Andre Miller | 21.9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | +1.66 |
| Logan Stankoven | 15.8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.10 |
| Mark Jankowski | 14.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.39 | +0.85 |
| Jaccob Slavin | 19.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | +0.13 |
| Jalen Chatfield | 17.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.13 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Knight | CHI | 28 | 6 | 2.40 | -3.60 |
| Pyotr Kochetkov | CAR | 27 | 2 | 1.56 | -0.44 |
| Arvid Soderblom | CHI | 21 | 3 | 1.82 | -1.18 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.