ON-ICE IQ · UTA 2 @ OTT 4

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Sat Nov 7 · 2026-27

UTA2

FINAL

4OTT

UTA 52%DESERVE TO WIN48% OTT

TOSS-UP A toss-up on the shots — OTT had a 48% chance and got it.

Expected goals flow

UTAOTT cumulative xG · dots = goals

	UTA	OTT
Goals	2	4
xG (all)	3.09	2.62
xG (5v5)	2.57	2.47
Shot attempts	61	60
Shots on goal	32	21

UTA skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Clayton Keller	18.6	1	1	6	0.61	+0.26
Anders Lee	14.7	0	1	1	0.26	+0.06
Barrett Hayton	14.4	1	0	3	0.19	-0.28
MacKenzie Weegar	20.7	0	1	2	0.16	+0.20
Liam O'Brien	10.6	0	0	1	0.32	+0.42
Lawson Crouse	16.3	0	0	0	0.25	-0.24
Kevin Stenlund	13.4	0	0	2	0.21	+0.33
Artem Duda	14.2	0	0	2	0.20	-0.28
Logan Cooley	18.9	0	0	2	0.19	+0.01
Michael Carcone	11.5	0	0	2	0.17	+0.42
Nick Schmaltz	15.7	0	0	1	0.15	-0.04
Nick DeSimone	12.9	0	0	0	0.15	-0.11
Mikhail Sergachev	27.2	0	0	5	0.06	+0.32
Vincent Trocheck	19.6	0	0	1	0.05	-0.08
Dmitri Simashev	21.7	0	0	0	0.05	-0.11
Jack McBain	11.8	0	0	2	0.04	-0.43
Andrew Peeke	20.5	0	0	2	0.02	+0.17
Dylan Guenther	15.2	0	0	0	0.00	-0.15

OTT skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Michael Amadio	18.9	1	1	2	0.34	+0.31
Shane Pinto	19.7	1	1	1	0.31	-0.07
Nick Cousins	14.7	1	0	1	0.35	-0.31
Stephen Halliday	13.6	0	1	1	0.28	+0.08
Tim Stützle	20.3	0	1	3	0.23	-0.11
Fabian Zetterlund	15.8	1	0	1	0.21	-0.34
Thomas Chabot	22.5	0	1	2	0.15	-0.12
Claude Giroux	19.0	0	1	1	0.14	+0.65
Philip Tomasino	11.1	0	1	1	0.04	-0.10
Tyler Kleven	15.6	0	1	0	0.02	-0.16
Dylan Cozens	14.8	0	0	2	0.26	-0.24
Sammy Blais	8.3	0	0	1	0.23	-0.24
Drake Batherson	16.6	0	0	1	0.16	+0.38
Jordan Spence	20.6	0	0	1	0.05	+0.28
Jake Sanderson	22.1	0	0	1	0.04	+0.06
Artem Zub	20.1	0	0	0	0.04	+0.03
Nikolas Matinpalo	16.6	0	0	2	0.04	-0.29
Hayden Hodgson	5.7	0	0	0	0.00	-0.29

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Karel Vejmelka	UTA	43	3	2.62	-0.38
Samuel Ersson	OTT	49	2	3.09	+1.09

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.