Sat Nov 7 · 2026-27
NYR4FINAL
3SEA
NYR 55%DESERVE TO WIN45% SEA
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — NYR had a 55% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
NYRSEA
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| NYR | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 3 |
| xG (all) | 3.62 | 2.72 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.59 | 2.17 |
| Shot attempts | 54 | 65 |
| Shots on goal | 26 | 28 |
NYR skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mika Zibanejad | 19.4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.22 | +0.15 |
| Alexis Lafrenière | 20.0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.19 | +0.05 |
| Gabe Perreault | 18.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.48 | +0.19 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand | 12.7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.45 | +0.44 |
| Tye Kartye | 20.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.43 | -0.49 |
| Pavel Dorofeyev | 14.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.40 | -0.24 |
| Adam Fox | 25.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.31 | +0.44 |
| Jaroslav Chmelar | 9.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.29 | +0.36 |
| Noah Laba | 12.2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.10 | +0.39 |
| J.T. Miller | 20.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.38 | -0.51 |
| Will Cuylle | 15.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.20 | +0.37 |
| Matt Rempe | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | +0.39 |
| Eeli Tolvanen | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.53 |
| Scott Morrow | 12.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | -0.21 |
| Vladislav Gavrikov | 23.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | -0.01 |
| Braden Schneider | 20.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | +0.41 |
| Marcus Pettersson | 22.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.58 |
| Matthew Robertson | 11.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.75 |
SEA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkly Catton | 14.8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.06 | +0.38 |
| Jordan Eberle | 16.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.46 | +0.03 |
| Vince Dunn | 22.8 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.43 | +0.34 |
| Kaapo Kakko | 15.1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.29 | +0.30 |
| Chandler Stephenson | 16.6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.20 | -0.39 |
| Matty Beniers | 19.8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.15 | +0.12 |
| Brandon Montour | 26.7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.12 | +0.42 |
| Matthew Wood | 14.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | +0.23 |
| Ryan Winterton | 10.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.34 | -0.32 |
| Jani Nyman | 11.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | -0.40 |
| Bobby McMann | 16.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | -0.01 |
| Ben Meyers | 11.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | -0.61 |
| Frederick Gaudreau | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | -0.12 |
| Adam Larsson | 19.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | +0.22 |
| Ville Ottavainen | 9.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | -1.29 |
| Ryker Evans | 25.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Mackie Samoskevich | 14.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.36 |
| Josh Mahura | 13.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.67 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philipp Grubauer | SEA | 26 | 1 | 1.91 | +0.91 |
| Joonas Korpisalo | NYR | 46 | 3 | 2.72 | -0.28 |
| Joey Daccord | SEA | 15 | 3 | 1.71 | -1.29 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.