Sat Nov 7 · 2026-27
STL1FINAL
3NSH
STL 44%DESERVE TO WIN56% NSH
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — NSH had a 56% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
STLNSH
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| STL | NSH | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 3 |
| xG (all) | 2.14 | 2.59 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.70 | 1.53 |
| Shot attempts | 61 | 65 |
| Shots on goal | 26 | 29 |
STL skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Snuggerud | 18.1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.44 | -0.07 |
| Philip Broberg | 28.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.13 | -0.14 |
| Robert Thomas | 21.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | -0.06 |
| Dalibor Dvorsky | 10.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.28 | +0.49 |
| Pius Suter | 15.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.23 | +0.08 |
| Pavel Buchnevich | 16.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.20 | +0.70 |
| Connor McMichael | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.20 | +0.61 |
| Alexey Toropchenko | 13.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | -0.12 |
| Dylan Holloway | 18.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | -0.05 |
| Mason McTavish | 12.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | -0.28 |
| Colton Parayko | 20.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | +0.26 |
| Cam Fowler | 19.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.06 | -0.20 |
| Jake Neighbours | 15.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.34 |
| Brandon Carlo | 16.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | +0.46 |
| Adam Jiricek | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | -0.14 |
| Aleksanteri Kaskimaki | 11.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.36 |
| Justin Barron | 19.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Ross Johnston | 11.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.04 |
NSH skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Stamkos | 19.4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0.61 | +0.46 |
| Roman Josi | 25.6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.13 | +0.39 |
| Filip Forsberg | 20.8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.63 | -0.06 |
| Ross Colton | 11.4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.42 | -0.51 |
| Nick Perbix | 19.0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.30 | +0.14 |
| Mavrik Bourque | 18.6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.24 | +0.40 |
| Jack Drury | 14.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.47 |
| Vitali Pinchuk | 9.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.26 | -0.02 |
| Adam Edstrom | 14.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.23 | -0.30 |
| Ryan O'Reilly | 19.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | +0.43 |
| Daemon Hunt | 14.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | -0.68 |
| Adam Wilsby | 19.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | +0.38 |
| Nils Hoglander | 13.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.04 | -0.21 |
| Jayden Struble | 17.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | -0.48 |
| Brady Skjei | 20.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | -0.08 |
| Shane Wright | 15.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
| Alexander Kerfoot | 14.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.17 |
| Reid Schaefer | 10.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.09 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juuse Saros | NSH | 42 | 1 | 2.14 | +1.14 |
| Joel Hofer | STL | 43 | 2 | 2.59 | +0.59 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.