Sat Nov 7 · 2026-27
FLA3FINAL
4WSH
FLA 44%DESERVE TO WIN56% WSH
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — WSH had a 56% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
FLAWSH
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| FLA | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 4 |
| xG (all) | 3.63 | 4.25 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.33 | 3.22 |
| Shot attempts | 57 | 62 |
| Shots on goal | 30 | 31 |
FLA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Tkachuk | 23.9 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0.47 | +0.35 |
| Brady Tkachuk | 21.5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1.05 | -0.11 |
| Sam Bennett | 18.7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.33 | -0.29 |
| Seth Jones | 26.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.30 | -0.46 |
| Sam Reinhart | 24.8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.17 | -1.07 |
| Carter Verhaeghe | 21.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.46 | -0.56 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 22.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.32 | +0.00 |
| Cole Reinhardt | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.14 | -1.23 |
| Eetu Luostarinen | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | -0.58 |
| Lars Eller | 16.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | +0.13 |
| Uvis Balinskis | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | -1.25 |
| Gustav Forsling | 19.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.04 |
| Bokondji Imama | 5.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| Niko Mikkola | 17.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| Dmitry Kulikov | 12.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -1.43 |
| Garnet Hathaway | 10.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.85 |
| Cole Schwindt | 8.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -1.26 |
| Sandis Vilmanis | 2.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.00 |
WSH skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre-Luc Dubois | 15.2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.21 | +0.34 |
| Aliaksei Protas | 15.7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.19 | +0.57 |
| Alex Tuch | 24.0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.53 | +0.74 |
| Ryan Leonard | 14.5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.35 | +0.73 |
| Jack St. Ivany | 13.8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | +0.11 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 14.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.07 | +0.72 |
| Justin Sourdif | 16.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.48 | +0.68 |
| Dylan Strome | 18.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.44 | +0.03 |
| Boone Jenner | 14.7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | +0.59 |
| Ilya Protas | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.24 | +1.04 |
| Cole Hutson | 16.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | +0.22 |
| Matt Roy | 24.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | +0.92 |
| Jordan Kyrou | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | +0.03 |
| Anthony Beauvillier | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | +0.19 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 21.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | +1.07 |
| Timothy Liljegren | 15.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | +0.80 |
| Martin Fehérváry | 22.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.65 |
| Tom Wilson | 2.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.00 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson | WSH | 41 | 3 | 3.63 | +0.63 |
| Akira Schmid | FLA | 47 | 4 | 4.25 | +0.25 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.