Fri Nov 6 · 2026-27
ANA5FINAL
3CGY
ANA 52%DESERVE TO WIN48% CGY
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — ANA had a 52% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
ANACGY
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| ANA | CGY | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 5 | 3 |
| xG (all) | 2.86 | 2.46 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.32 | 1.77 |
| Shot attempts | 65 | 47 |
| Shots on goal | 29 | 21 |
ANA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beckett Sennecke | 23.3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.33 | -0.18 |
| Leo Carlsson | 21.8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.22 | +0.77 |
| Mikael Granlund | 23.1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.08 | -0.24 |
| Jeff Malott | 11.5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.52 | +0.47 |
| Cutter Gauthier | 22.3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.36 | -0.10 |
| Nikita Nesterenko | 9.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.28 | +0.53 |
| Tristan Luneau | 17.1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.21 | +0.14 |
| Jackson LaCombe | 30.1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.14 | +0.32 |
| Judd Caulfield | 15.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.95 | +0.57 |
| Roger McQueen | 11.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | +0.17 |
| Tim Washe | 12.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | -0.04 |
| Nico Myatovic | 9.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.35 |
| Alex Killorn | 17.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | +0.58 |
| Noah Warren | 18.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.08 |
| Drew Helleson | 20.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.34 |
| Pavel Mintyukov | 25.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.77 |
| Travis Mitchell | 4.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.55 |
| Sam Colangelo | 2.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.50 |
CGY skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zayne Parekh | 22.3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.16 | +0.22 |
| Morgan Frost | 13.3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.38 |
| Joel Farabee | 22.9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.69 | -0.22 |
| William Stromgren | 10.1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.26 | +0.55 |
| Joel Hanley | 16.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | -0.34 |
| Simon Nemec | 19.7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.10 | -0.32 |
| Yan Kuznetsov | 16.8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | +0.05 |
| Matt Coronato | 21.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.26 | -0.20 |
| Jonathan Castagna | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | +0.35 |
| Matvei Gridin | 17.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | -0.54 |
| Mikael Backlund | 19.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | -0.03 |
| Yegor Sharangovich | 11.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | -0.34 |
| Ryan Strome | 14.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | -0.57 |
| Adam Klapka | 12.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | +0.45 |
| Zach Whitecloud | 20.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | -0.39 |
| Jake Middleton | 19.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.32 |
| Martin Pospisil | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| Aydar Suniev | 10.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.34 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ville Husso | ANA | 18 | 0 | 1.20 | +1.20 |
| Lukas Dostal | ANA | 15 | 3 | 1.25 | -1.75 |
| Dustin Wolf | CGY | 40 | 4 | 2.86 | -1.14 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.