Fri Nov 6 · 2026-27
SJS1FINAL
4MIN
SJS 36%DESERVE TO WIN64% MIN
DESERVED
MIN earned it — a 64% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
SJSMIN
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| SJS | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 4 |
| xG (all) | 2.17 | 3.68 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.52 | 1.41 |
| Shot attempts | 54 | 69 |
| Shots on goal | 24 | 29 |
SJS skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macklin Celebrini | 25.0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.53 | +0.35 |
| Will Smith | 21.2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.26 | +0.18 |
| Dmitry Orlov | 15.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.02 |
| Ivar Stenberg | 12.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.32 | +0.29 |
| Darnell Nurse | 22.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.19 | +0.47 |
| Ty Dellandrea | 11.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.14 | +0.31 |
| Michael Misa | 20.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | +0.01 |
| Zack Ostapchuk | 10.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | -0.59 |
| Mason Marchment | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | -0.12 |
| Kiefer Sherwood | 17.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | +0.04 |
| Collin Graf | 14.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | +0.14 |
| Sam Dickinson | 18.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | -0.34 |
| Tyler Toffoli | 12.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | +0.40 |
| Eric Pohlkamp | 16.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | +0.02 |
| Michael Kesselring | 18.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.42 |
| Jacob Trouba | 19.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.34 |
| Barclay Goodrow | 12.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.32 |
| Adam Gaudette | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.36 |
MIN skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirill Kaprizov | 19.5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0.76 | -0.23 |
| Quinn Hughes | 31.0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.14 | -0.27 |
| Matt Boldy | 19.4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0.53 | -0.27 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 18.9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.39 | -0.42 |
| Max Shabanov | 16.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.37 | -0.14 |
| Jonas Brodin | 24.4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.07 | -0.05 |
| Zach Bogosian | 13.4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.06 |
| Blake Coleman | 15.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.43 | +0.10 |
| Danila Yurov | 16.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | -0.22 |
| Bobby Brink | 18.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | +0.20 |
| Tyler Pitlick | 7.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | +0.18 |
| Yakov Trenin | 13.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | +0.01 |
| Matt Kiersted | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | +0.07 |
| Michael McCarron | 14.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | +0.35 |
| Olli Maatta | 18.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | +0.23 |
| Ryan Hartman | 11.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | -0.15 |
| Nico Sturm | 10.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | +0.24 |
| David Spacek | 11.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.25 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaroslav Askarov | SJS | 49 | 4 | 3.68 | -0.32 |
| Jesper Wallstedt | MIN | 36 | 1 | 2.17 | +1.17 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.