ON-ICE IQ · CBJ 2 @ BUF 5

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Fri Nov 6 · 2026-27

CBJ2

FINAL

5BUF

CBJ 39%DESERVE TO WIN61% BUF

DESERVED BUF earned it — a 61% chance to win on the shots.

Expected goals flow

CBJBUF cumulative xG · dots = goals

	CBJ	BUF
Goals	2	5
xG (all)	3.34	4.55
xG (5v5)	2.45	3.02
Shot attempts	56	65
Shots on goal	26	37

CBJ skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Kent Johnson	16.4	1	1	5	0.64	-0.09
Zach Werenski	24.6	1	0	3	0.20	-1.47
Denton Mateychuk	21.0	0	1	0	0.11	+0.09
Matthew Knies	19.3	0	1	1	0.09	+0.20
Sean Monahan	11.1	0	1	0	0.00	-0.23
Mathieu Olivier	16.6	0	0	3	0.60	-0.03
Charlie Coyle	18.4	0	0	2	0.46	+0.09
Ivan Provorov	20.9	0	0	3	0.34	+1.35
Cole Sillinger	12.8	0	0	1	0.22	-0.80
Jake Christiansen	17.7	0	0	2	0.15	-0.40
Steven Lorentz	8.8	0	0	1	0.14	+0.11
Conor Garland	13.1	0	0	3	0.12	-0.14
Dmitri Voronkov	8.0	0	0	0	0.10	+0.30
Damon Severson	16.6	0	0	0	0.10	-0.29
Adam Fantilli	18.9	0	0	0	0.06	-0.54
Dante Fabbro	17.1	0	0	2	0.01	-0.40
Valeri Nichushkin	19.2	0	0	0	0.00	-0.66
Jack Williams	9.9	0	0	0	0.00	+0.10

BUF skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Owen Power	20.3	0	3	3	0.35	+0.15
Josh Norris	13.1	2	0	3	0.50	+1.01
Jack Quinn	17.4	1	1	3	0.31	-0.04
Josh Doan	11.7	1	0	4	0.99	+0.33
Tage Thompson	19.0	0	1	3	0.50	+0.27
Zach Benson	22.1	0	1	3	0.40	+0.30
Noah Ostlund	17.5	0	1	3	0.32	+0.18
Rasmus Dahlin	23.3	1	0	4	0.15	+0.30
Conor Timmins	15.3	0	1	1	0.02	-0.85
Peyton Krebs	15.6	0	1	0	0.00	-0.27
Jason Zucker	13.8	0	0	3	0.64	+0.44
Jiri Kulich	13.0	0	0	4	0.33	+0.41
Zach Metsa	14.8	0	0	0	0.19	+1.13
Mattias Samuelsson	20.5	0	0	1	0.09	-0.17
Sam Carrick	11.5	0	0	2	0.02	-0.22
Olen Zellweger	18.4	0	0	0	0.01	+0.56
Beck Malenstyn	13.6	0	0	0	0.00	-0.37
Tyson Kozak	11.4	0	0	0	0.00	-0.36

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen	BUF	43	2	3.34	+1.34
Jet Greaves	CBJ	50	5	4.55	-0.45

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.