Thu Nov 5 · 2026-27
NSH3FINAL OT
2COL
NSH 52%DESERVE TO WIN48% COL
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — NSH had a 52% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
NSHCOL
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| NSH | COL | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 2 |
| xG (all) | 3.51 | 3.05 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.86 | 1.39 |
| Shot attempts | 51 | 77 |
| Shots on goal | 25 | 32 |
NSH skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan O'Reilly | 24.5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.31 | +0.46 |
| Steven Stamkos | 19.0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.44 | -0.07 |
| Vitali Pinchuk | 9.4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.40 | +0.39 |
| Ross Colton | 12.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.29 | +0.63 |
| Roman Josi | 28.4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.05 | +0.00 |
| Reid Schaefer | 9.8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.41 |
| Mavrik Bourque | 17.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.61 | -0.14 |
| Adam Edstrom | 17.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.58 | +0.54 |
| Filip Forsberg | 20.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.29 | -0.56 |
| Daemon Hunt | 11.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.28 | -0.21 |
| Adam Wilsby | 22.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.19 | +0.29 |
| Jayden Struble | 12.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | -0.12 |
| Nick Perbix | 20.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.15 |
| Brady Skjei | 21.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.82 |
| Jack Drury | 18.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Alexander Kerfoot | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.37 |
| Shane Wright | 12.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| Nils Hoglander | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.23 |
COL skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Kelly | 11.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.28 | -0.09 |
| Jaden Schwartz | 12.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | +0.10 |
| Brock Nelson | 16.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.02 |
| Logan O'Connor | 11.8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | +0.16 |
| Martin Necas | 23.6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.04 | +0.06 |
| Noah Juulsen | 11.7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.36 |
| Devon Toews | 23.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.64 | +0.06 |
| T.J. Hughes | 14.6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.55 | -0.15 |
| Nazem Kadri | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.28 | -0.23 |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 14.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.27 | -0.27 |
| Cale Makar | 26.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | -0.53 |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 18.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | -0.17 |
| Sam Malinski | 20.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.13 | +0.19 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 24.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | -0.12 |
| Nicolas Roy | 9.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.58 |
| Brent Burns | 15.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | -0.31 |
| Brett Kulak | 18.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Fedor Svechkov | 8.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.08 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood | COL | 41 | 3 | 3.51 | +0.51 |
| Justus Annunen | NSH | 47 | 2 | 3.05 | +1.05 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.