Thu Nov 5 · 2026-27
ANA5FINAL
4EDM
ANA 51%DESERVE TO WIN49% EDM
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — ANA had a 51% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
ANAEDM
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| ANA | EDM | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 5 | 4 |
| xG (all) | 3.56 | 3.18 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.59 | 1.59 |
| Shot attempts | 46 | 57 |
| Shots on goal | 21 | 27 |
ANA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beckett Sennecke | 16.6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0.79 | +0.38 |
| Pavel Mintyukov | 16.1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0.43 | +0.71 |
| Cutter Gauthier | 17.9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.71 | +0.29 |
| Leo Carlsson | 25.5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.36 | +0.61 |
| Judd Caulfield | 18.3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.45 | +0.22 |
| Mikael Granlund | 21.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | -0.31 |
| Tristan Luneau | 15.9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | +0.44 |
| Drew Helleson | 23.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | -0.55 |
| Jackson LaCombe | 33.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.68 |
| Alex Killorn | 20.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.31 | +0.31 |
| Nikita Nesterenko | 9.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | +0.17 |
| Jeff Malott | 8.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | +0.27 |
| Roger McQueen | 11.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | +0.27 |
| Nico Myatovic | 10.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | -0.79 |
| Noah Warren | 11.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | +0.04 |
| Tim Washe | 14.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.65 |
| Travis Mitchell | 8.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.03 |
| Sam Colangelo | 8.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.70 |
EDM skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McDavid | 24.4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0.25 | -0.34 |
| Leon Draisaitl | 24.1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0.65 | -0.28 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 19.5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.34 | +0.63 |
| Evan Bouchard | 24.2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.33 | -0.35 |
| Kasperi Kapanen | 20.0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.62 | +0.49 |
| Mattias Ekholm | 21.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.39 |
| Colton Dach | 17.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.40 | +0.71 |
| Vasily Podkolzin | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | -0.05 |
| Alex Formenton | 10.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | -0.06 |
| Owen Michaels | 12.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.45 |
| Connor Murphy | 19.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | +0.30 |
| Shakir Mukhamadullin | 13.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | -0.08 |
| Ryan Shea | 23.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | +0.69 |
| Jason Dickinson | 13.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | -0.38 |
| Jake Walman | 12.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.14 |
| Mathieu Joseph | 11.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.21 |
| Filip Hallander | 10.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.03 |
| Max Jones | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.06 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laurent Brossoit | ANA | 42 | 4 | 3.18 | -0.82 |
| Matt Tomkins | EDM | 37 | 5 | 3.56 | -1.44 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.