Thu Nov 5 · 2026-27
VAN2FINAL
6WPG
VAN 35%DESERVE TO WIN65% WPG
DESERVED
WPG earned it — a 65% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
VANWPG
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| VAN | WPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 6 |
| xG (all) | 1.87 | 3.41 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.60 | 2.88 |
| Shot attempts | 48 | 56 |
| Shots on goal | 26 | 29 |
VAN skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Rossi | 13.7 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0.29 | +0.09 |
| Liam Ohgren | 12.7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.20 | +0.31 |
| Brock Boeser | 20.0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.14 | -0.63 |
| Jonathan Lekkerimäki | 13.8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.11 | +0.09 |
| Jacob Quillan | 12.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.24 |
| Jake DeBrusk | 17.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.57 | -0.38 |
| Linus Karlsson | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | +0.08 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 15.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | -0.20 |
| Brendan Gallagher | 11.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | -0.83 |
| Guillaume Brisebois | 19.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | +0.26 |
| Elias Pettersson | 19.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | -1.00 |
| Zeev Buium | 22.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | -0.48 |
| Drew O'Connor | 15.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.26 |
| Filip Hronek | 25.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -1.16 |
| Victor Mancini | 14.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.57 |
| Elias Pettersson | 21.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.51 |
| Max Sasson | 14.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.13 |
| Paul Cotter | 11.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.84 |
WPG skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Connor | 18.3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.48 | +0.28 |
| Mark Scheifele | 18.1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.34 | +0.27 |
| Dylan DeMelo | 19.5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.20 | +0.88 |
| Dawson Mercer | 14.9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | +0.56 |
| Cole Perfetti | 15.4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.45 | +0.69 |
| Gabriel Vilardi | 16.9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.29 | -0.10 |
| Neal Pionk | 24.5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.28 | +0.71 |
| Viggo Björck | 16.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.25 | +1.21 |
| Alex Iafallo | 15.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | +0.84 |
| Cole Koepke | 12.9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.08 | -0.39 |
| Mario Ferraro | 20.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | +0.89 |
| Haydn Fleury | 10.8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.04 | -0.18 |
| Morgan Barron | 14.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.39 |
| Brayden Yager | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | +0.57 |
| Adam Lowry | 14.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.22 | +0.83 |
| Dylan Samberg | 26.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | +0.39 |
| Isak Rosen | 12.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| Tyrel Bauer | 13.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.24 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuart Skinner | WPG | 37 | 2 | 1.87 | -0.13 |
| Leevi Meriläinen | VAN | 46 | 6 | 3.41 | -2.59 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.