Thu Nov 5 · 2026-27
DAL1FINAL SO
2CBJ
DAL 52%DESERVE TO WIN48% CBJ
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — CBJ had a 48% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
DALCBJ
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| DAL | CBJ | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 2 |
| xG (all) | 3.27 | 2.79 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.60 | 2.30 |
| Shot attempts | 62 | 62 |
| Shots on goal | 28 | 30 |
DAL skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Johnston | 19.2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.77 | +1.02 |
| Mikko Rantanen | 19.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | +1.05 |
| Tyler Seguin | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.45 | -0.22 |
| Jason Robertson | 20.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.43 | -0.47 |
| Thomas Harley | 28.5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.42 | +0.54 |
| Jamie Benn | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.31 | +1.05 |
| Colin Blackwell | 9.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | +0.01 |
| Arttu Hyry | 16.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.13 | -0.50 |
| Esa Lindell | 26.1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.10 | -0.63 |
| Lian Bichsel | 18.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | +0.21 |
| Tyler Myers | 19.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.38 |
| Nils Lundkvist | 21.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.65 |
| Trey Taylor | 10.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | +0.18 |
| Roope Hintz | 17.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.45 |
| Justin Hryckowian | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.29 |
| Joel Kiviranta | 12.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.06 |
| Radek Faksa | 11.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| David Perron | 11.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.25 |
CBJ skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Werenski | 29.4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.26 | +1.01 |
| Kent Johnson | 20.1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.24 | -0.29 |
| Matthew Knies | 19.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.24 | -0.53 |
| Mathieu Olivier | 17.8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.73 | +0.42 |
| Adam Fantilli | 20.5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.40 | -0.14 |
| Dmitri Voronkov | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.32 | -0.05 |
| Cole Sillinger | 18.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | +0.62 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 18.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | -0.34 |
| Ryan Lomberg | 5.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | +0.03 |
| Ivan Provorov | 25.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | -1.34 |
| Charlie Coyle | 23.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | +0.40 |
| Sean Monahan | 18.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.54 |
| Jake Christiansen | 11.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.22 |
| Conor Garland | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.49 |
| Denton Mateychuk | 22.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.57 |
| Damon Severson | 21.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +1.07 |
| Dante Fabbro | 12.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.55 |
| Luca Del Bel Belluz | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Talbot | CBJ | 46 | 1 | 3.27 | +2.27 |
| Casey DeSmith | DAL | 42 | 1 | 2.79 | +1.79 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.