Thu Nov 5 · 2026-27
BOS6FINAL
2PIT
BOS 52%DESERVE TO WIN48% PIT
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — BOS had a 52% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
BOSPIT
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| BOS | PIT | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 6 | 2 |
| xG (all) | 2.85 | 2.35 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.46 | 2.21 |
| Shot attempts | 42 | 56 |
| Shots on goal | 24 | 18 |
BOS skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Pastrnak | 20.4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0.76 | -0.24 |
| Morgan Geekie | 13.7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.30 | +0.10 |
| Pavel Zacha | 18.6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.26 | -0.27 |
| JJ Peterka | 18.4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.23 | +0.10 |
| Elias Lindholm | 14.7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.35 | +0.21 |
| Fraser Minten | 13.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | -0.12 |
| Tanner Jeannot | 13.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.10 |
| Mark Kastelic | 13.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | +0.12 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 20.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.05 | +0.72 |
| Frederic Brunet | 16.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.43 |
| James Hagens | 11.9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.34 | +0.49 |
| Sean Kuraly | 14.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | +0.25 |
| Marat Khusnutdinov | 14.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.29 |
| Will Borgen | 21.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | +0.06 |
| Charlie McAvoy | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.94 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 21.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.08 |
| Mason Lohrei | 19.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.77 |
| Casey Mittelstadt | 12.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.36 |
PIT skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaedan Korczak | 19.5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.02 | +0.19 |
| Nick Robertson | 14.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.28 | +0.20 |
| Justin Brazeau | 11.8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.28 | +0.00 |
| Blake Lizotte | 13.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | +0.27 |
| Hendrix Lapierre | 12.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Evgeni Malkin | 16.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.38 | -0.02 |
| Rickard Rakell | 17.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.24 | -0.60 |
| Ben Kindel | 18.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.20 | -0.66 |
| Spencer Stastney | 20.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | +0.04 |
| Tommy Novak | 17.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | -0.30 |
| Samuel Girard | 20.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.13 | -0.48 |
| Connor Dewar | 16.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | +0.21 |
| Declan Carlile | 17.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.42 |
| Erik Karlsson | 21.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | -0.80 |
| Egor Chinakhov | 15.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | -0.33 |
| Kris Letang | 20.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | +0.13 |
| Sidney Crosby | 17.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.23 |
| Ville Koivunen | 8.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.24 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael DiPietro | BOS | 34 | 2 | 2.35 | +0.35 |
| Arturs Silovs | PIT | 34 | 6 | 2.85 | -3.15 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.