Thu Nov 5 · 2026-27
PHI2FINAL
3NYR
PHI 46%DESERVE TO WIN54% NYR
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — NYR had a 54% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
PHINYR
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| PHI | NYR | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 3 |
| xG (all) | 2.88 | 3.09 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.53 | 2.78 |
| Shot attempts | 53 | 54 |
| Shots on goal | 25 | 28 |
PHI skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Barkey | 14.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.48 | +0.49 |
| Noel Acciari | 13.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | +0.42 |
| Tyson Foerster | 17.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | -0.17 |
| Jamie Drysdale | 26.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.34 |
| Simon Benoit | 15.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.10 |
| Owen Tippett | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.43 | +0.05 |
| Sean Couturier | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.29 | +0.47 |
| Travis Konecny | 17.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.26 | -0.09 |
| Trevor Zegras | 19.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.26 | -0.78 |
| Cole Knuble | 11.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | +0.16 |
| Christian Dvorak | 19.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | -0.80 |
| Travis Sanheim | 21.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.14 | +0.60 |
| Cam York | 18.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | -0.83 |
| Porter Martone | 11.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.14 |
| Noah Cates | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.07 |
| Oliver Bonk | 19.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.84 |
| Nick Seeler | 15.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.15 |
| Matvei Michkov | 15.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.57 |
NYR skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Fox | 25.5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.73 |
| J.T. Miller | 18.3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.84 | +0.64 |
| Gabe Perreault | 18.4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.63 | +1.14 |
| Pavel Dorofeyev | 15.0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.39 | +0.12 |
| Tye Kartye | 20.1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.35 | +0.44 |
| Mika Zibanejad | 22.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.24 | +0.24 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand | 15.9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.13 | -0.73 |
| Marcus Pettersson | 21.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | +1.01 |
| Alberts Smits | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.23 | -0.08 |
| Alexis Lafrenière | 17.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | +0.34 |
| Will Cuylle | 17.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | -0.61 |
| Eeli Tolvanen | 11.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | -0.55 |
| Braden Schneider | 19.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | +1.09 |
| Vladislav Gavrikov | 24.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | -0.81 |
| Scott Morrow | 13.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | +0.01 |
| Noah Laba | 11.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.07 |
| Jaroslav Chmelar | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.15 |
| Matt Rempe | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.07 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Woll | PHI | 42 | 3 | 3.09 | +0.09 |
| Dylan Garand | NYR | 42 | 2 | 2.88 | +0.88 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.