ON-ICE IQ · CAR 5 @ NYI 3

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Thu Nov 5 · 2026-27

CAR5

FINAL

3NYI

CAR 49%DESERVE TO WIN51% NYI

TOSS-UP A toss-up on the shots — CAR had a 49% chance and got it.

Expected goals flow

CARNYI cumulative xG · dots = goals

	CAR	NYI
Goals	5	3
xG (all)	3.65	3.55
xG (5v5)	3.34	2.64
Shot attempts	64	63
Shots on goal	39	27

CAR skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Andrei Svechnikov	18.2	1	1	7	0.73	+0.94
William Carrier	13.9	1	1	2	0.40	+0.70
Sebastian Aho	22.1	0	2	4	0.34	+0.90
Jalen Chatfield	22.9	1	1	1	0.28	-0.01
Jackson Blake	16.4	0	1	2	0.32	+0.03
Logan Stankoven	14.2	1	0	3	0.29	-0.14
Jordan Martinook	15.1	0	1	2	0.15	-0.30
Jesperi Kotkaniemi	8.9	1	0	3	0.15	-0.30
K'Andre Miller	19.3	0	1	2	0.07	+0.78
Nikolaj Ehlers	15.8	0	0	5	0.57	+0.44
Taylor Hall	10.5	0	0	2	0.23	+0.25
Mark Jankowski	13.3	0	0	1	0.21	-0.09
Shayne Gostisbehere	16.9	0	0	3	0.08	-0.06
Sean Walker	20.4	0	0	2	0.07	+0.97
Seth Jarvis	15.1	0	0	0	0.04	+0.25
Jaccob Slavin	25.9	0	0	0	0.00	-0.32
Juuso Välimäki	12.7	0	0	0	0.00	-0.08
Eric Robinson	10.3	0	0	0	0.00	-0.46

NYI skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Victor Eklund	15.3	1	1	3	0.40	-0.01
Brayden Schenn	18.3	1	1	1	0.11	-0.20
Mitchell Chaffee	10.5	1	0	3	0.28	+0.02
Emil Heineman	15.5	0	1	1	0.19	-0.24
Matthew Schaefer	30.0	0	1	2	0.12	-0.21
Casey Cizikas	10.1	0	1	1	0.02	-0.02
Matthew Kessel	14.2	0	1	0	0.00	+0.19
Kyle Palmieri	19.1	0	0	2	0.59	-0.64
Jean-Gabriel Pageau	15.6	0	0	3	0.48	-0.17
Bo Horvat	20.9	0	0	3	0.43	-0.41
Simon Holmstrom	19.8	0	0	2	0.42	-0.45
Ondrej Palat	14.8	0	0	2	0.37	-0.03
Anthony Duclair	13.7	0	0	2	0.11	+0.14
Adam Pelech	16.8	0	0	1	0.02	-0.36
Tony DeAngelo	19.9	0	0	1	0.02	+0.14
Logan Stanley	23.8	0	0	0	0.00	-0.74
Kyle MacLean	10.4	0	0	0	0.00	+0.02
Scott Mayfield	8.9	0	0	0	0.00	-0.53

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Semyon Varlamov	NYI	50	4	3.65	-0.35
Brandon Bussi	CAR	40	3	3.55	+0.55

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.