ON-ICE IQ · STL 4 @ NJD 5

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Thu Nov 5 · 2026-27

STL4

FINAL OT

5NJD

STL 42%DESERVE TO WIN58% NJD

TOSS-UP A toss-up on the shots — NJD had a 58% chance and got it.

Expected goals flow

STLNJD cumulative xG · dots = goals

	STL	NJD
Goals	4	5
xG (all)	3.27	4.08
xG (5v5)	2.56	2.59
Shot attempts	51	67
Shots on goal	32	36

STL skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Mason McTavish	17.9	1	1	4	0.53	+0.35
Philip Broberg	28.4	1	1	3	0.16	-0.39
Robert Thomas	20.9	1	0	4	0.38	-0.05
Dalibor Dvorsky	12.6	1	0	2	0.38	-0.49
Colton Parayko	19.8	0	1	3	0.28	+0.23
Adam Jiricek	13.2	0	1	2	0.17	-0.22
Justin Barron	16.3	0	1	2	0.09	+0.20
Jake Neighbours	15.2	0	1	0	0.00	-0.45
Connor McMichael	13.5	0	1	0	0.00	+0.36
Ross Johnston	9.6	0	0	4	0.39	-0.02
Dylan Holloway	16.1	0	0	3	0.29	+0.02
Jimmy Snuggerud	20.0	0	0	2	0.23	+0.01
Aleksanteri Kaskimaki	14.4	0	0	1	0.16	+0.55
Pavel Buchnevich	16.1	0	0	1	0.12	-0.50
Pius Suter	12.6	0	0	0	0.06	-0.02
Brandon Carlo	19.5	0	0	0	0.02	-0.36
Alexey Toropchenko	12.0	0	0	1	0.01	+0.22
Cam Fowler	20.1	0	0	0	0.00	+0.40

NJD skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Anthony Mantha	13.6	2	1	3	0.52	+0.16
Jack Hughes	20.2	0	2	6	0.48	+0.01
Jesper Bratt	17.6	1	1	2	0.29	-0.03
Luke Hughes	26.8	1	1	2	0.23	-0.74
Brett Pesce	22.4	0	2	1	0.03	-0.63
Dougie Hamilton	21.0	0	1	1	0.20	-0.06
Jesper Boqvist	12.1	1	0	1	0.19	+0.25
Evan Rodrigues	15.2	0	1	1	0.07	+0.25
Timo Meier	13.3	0	0	6	0.63	+0.59
Luke Evangelista	14.9	0	0	5	0.49	+0.39
Nico Hischier	18.0	0	0	2	0.38	+0.37
Arseny Gritsyuk	17.2	0	0	2	0.17	-0.31
Amadeus Lombardi	11.0	0	0	0	0.14	-0.29
Cody Glass	12.4	0	0	0	0.11	-0.60
Connor Brown	17.8	0	0	1	0.10	-0.70
Declan Chisholm	13.7	0	0	2	0.05	+0.73
Johnathan Kovacevic	14.7	0	0	1	0.00	+0.55
Jonas Siegenthaler	18.1	0	0	0	0.00	+0.20

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Jordan Binnington	STL	48	5	4.08	-0.92
Connor Hellebuyck	NJD	43	4	3.27	-0.73

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.