Thu Nov 5 · 2026-27
CHI1FINAL
4TBL
CHI 39%DESERVE TO WIN61% TBL
DESERVED
TBL earned it — a 61% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
CHITBL
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| CHI | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 4 |
| xG (all) | 1.95 | 2.98 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.74 | 2.22 |
| Shot attempts | 46 | 52 |
| Shots on goal | 26 | 35 |
CHI skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Rinzel | 20.8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.15 | -0.08 |
| Roman Kantserov | 17.5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | -0.55 |
| Ethan Del Mastro | 14.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.59 |
| Ryan Donato | 14.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.31 | -0.00 |
| Connor Bedard | 18.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.30 | -0.63 |
| Andrew Mangiapane | 12.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | +0.02 |
| Oliver Moore | 13.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.22 | -0.17 |
| Cole Smith | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | -0.04 |
| Anton Frondell | 18.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | +0.03 |
| Ryan Greene | 12.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | -0.04 |
| Frank Nazar | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | +0.13 |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 16.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | -0.50 |
| Alex Vlasic | 24.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | -0.45 |
| Artyom Levshunov | 20.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.50 |
| Wyatt Kaiser | 19.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.65 |
| Ian Cole | 19.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.12 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 13.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Dillon Boucher | 8.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.27 |
TBL skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Mikheyev | 16.4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.53 | +0.31 |
| Erik Cernak | 16.1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.12 | +0.68 |
| Brandon Hagel | 16.8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.42 | +0.32 |
| Jake Guentzel | 20.6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.27 | +0.09 |
| Victor Hedman | 16.4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.24 | +0.21 |
| Zemgus Girgensons | 15.7 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0.22 | +0.48 |
| Anthony Cirelli | 14.9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.16 | +0.32 |
| Ryan McDonagh | 14.7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.07 | +0.53 |
| Brayden Point | 19.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | +0.06 |
| Pontus Holmberg | 16.5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.05 | +0.50 |
| Nikita Kucherov | 20.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.48 | -0.13 |
| Conor Geekie | 9.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | -0.01 |
| Gage Goncalves | 17.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | +0.05 |
| J.J. Moser | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | -0.30 |
| Charle-Edouard D'Astous | 17.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.00 |
| Max Crozier | 20.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.13 |
| Jeffrey Viel | 10.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.51 |
| John Carlson | 20.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.06 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei Vasilevskiy | TBL | 37 | 1 | 1.95 | +0.95 |
| Arvid Soderblom | CHI | 42 | 4 | 2.98 | -1.02 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.