Thu Nov 5 · 2026-27
VGK2FINAL
1DET
VGK 48%DESERVE TO WIN52% DET
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — VGK had a 48% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
VGKDET
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| VGK | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 1 |
| xG (all) | 2.99 | 3.02 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.09 | 1.77 |
| Shot attempts | 61 | 59 |
| Shots on goal | 34 | 26 |
VGK skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Eichel | 21.8 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0.46 | +0.64 |
| Victor Olofsson | 14.1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.35 | +0.09 |
| Braeden Bowman | 13.0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.24 | -0.43 |
| Tomas Hertl | 14.4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.16 | +0.11 |
| Trevor Connelly | 11.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | +0.12 |
| Rasmus Andersson | 18.5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.06 | +0.07 |
| Brett Howden | 17.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.88 | +0.19 |
| Ivan Barbashev | 14.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.34 | +0.26 |
| William Karlsson | 18.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.29 | +0.14 |
| Mitch Marner | 23.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.23 | +0.40 |
| Shea Theodore | 24.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.20 | +0.14 |
| Marc Gatcomb | 8.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.43 |
| Mark Stone | 19.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | +0.31 |
| Dylan Coghlan | 13.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Brayden McNabb | 21.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.27 |
| Jeremy Lauzon | 14.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.14 |
| Noah Hanifin | 18.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
| Nic Dowd | 9.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.43 |
DET skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton Johansson | 9.6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | -0.02 |
| Sheldon Dries | 8.6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.08 |
| Carter Mazur | 6.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.07 |
| Emmitt Finnie | 21.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.69 | +0.25 |
| Alex DeBrincat | 19.7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.50 | +0.30 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 17.4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.46 | +0.23 |
| Michael Brandsegg-Nygård | 16.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.29 | -0.06 |
| Lucas Raymond | 22.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.28 | +0.01 |
| Andrew Copp | 21.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | +0.14 |
| William Wallinder | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | -0.00 |
| J.T. Compher | 15.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | -0.50 |
| Moritz Seider | 27.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | -0.38 |
| Michael Rasmussen | 13.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | -0.31 |
| Nate Danielson | 10.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | -0.63 |
| Keegan Kolesar | 8.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | -0.07 |
| Ben Chiarot | 22.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | -0.39 |
| Andreas Englund | 11.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.08 |
| Justin Faulk | 22.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.08 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Hart | VGK | 47 | 1 | 3.02 | +2.02 |
| Daniil Tarasov | DET | 44 | 2 | 2.99 | +0.99 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.