Thu Nov 5 · 2026-27
UTA4FINAL OT
5MTL
UTA 42%DESERVE TO WIN58% MTL
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — MTL had a 58% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
UTAMTL
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| UTA | MTL | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 5 |
| xG (all) | 3.45 | 4.25 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.92 | 1.94 |
| Shot attempts | 56 | 69 |
| Shots on goal | 20 | 35 |
UTA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Cooley | 19.5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0.64 | -0.07 |
| Nick Schmaltz | 17.5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.35 | -0.35 |
| Dylan Guenther | 17.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.39 | -0.19 |
| Vincent Trocheck | 18.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.36 | +0.99 |
| Clayton Keller | 22.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.26 | -0.53 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 27.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.15 | -0.37 |
| Nate Schmidt | 4.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Jack McBain | 13.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.38 | +0.07 |
| Anders Lee | 14.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.21 | -0.35 |
| Lawson Crouse | 14.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | +0.64 |
| Kevin Stenlund | 9.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | -0.17 |
| Dmitri Simashev | 19.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | +0.13 |
| Michael Carcone | 10.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | +0.13 |
| Barrett Hayton | 15.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | -0.43 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 24.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | +0.11 |
| Liam O'Brien | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | +0.08 |
| Andrew Peeke | 23.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.33 |
| Nick DeSimone | 15.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.51 |
MTL skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Suzuki | 20.1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0.45 | +0.16 |
| Kirby Dach | 11.5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.40 | -0.05 |
| Lane Hutson | 27.0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.25 | +0.11 |
| Noah Dobson | 20.6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.19 |
| Cole Caufield | 18.4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.84 | +0.11 |
| Juraj Slafkovský | 19.7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.77 | +0.16 |
| Alex Newhook | 12.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.15 | -0.14 |
| Adam Engstrom | 10.8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | -0.01 |
| Arber Xhekaj | 9.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | -0.11 |
| Jake Evans | 19.8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.26 |
| Zachary Bolduc | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.47 | -0.09 |
| Josh Anderson | 12.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.34 | +0.41 |
| Chris Kreider | 11.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.27 | -0.13 |
| Alexandre Carrier | 21.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | +0.00 |
| Phillip Danault | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.09 |
| Alexandre Texier | 13.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.38 |
| Kaiden Guhle | 23.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | +0.23 |
| Oliver Kapanen | 9.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.17 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Dobes | MTL | 39 | 4 | 3.45 | -0.55 |
| Sebastian Cossa | UTA | 53 | 5 | 4.25 | -0.75 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.