ON-ICE IQ · CGY 1 @ SEA 2

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Wed Nov 4 · 2026-27

CGY1

FINAL OT

2SEA

CGY 45%DESERVE TO WIN55% SEA

TOSS-UP A toss-up on the shots — SEA had a 55% chance and got it.

Expected goals flow

CGYSEA cumulative xG · dots = goals

	CGY	SEA
Goals	1	2
xG (all)	2.47	2.85
xG (5v5)	2.15	2.19
Shot attempts	64	56
Shots on goal	26	29

CGY skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Yegor Sharangovich	16.2	1	0	1	0.45	+0.71
Morgan Frost	15.2	0	1	2	0.15	+0.67
Zach Whitecloud	20.2	0	1	1	0.00	-0.21
Aydar Suniev	12.2	0	0	2	0.45	+0.65
Joel Farabee	20.3	0	0	3	0.38	-0.29
Simon Nemec	21.9	0	0	4	0.18	+0.13
Ryan Strome	15.4	0	0	1	0.17	+0.29
Martin Pospisil	13.3	0	0	1	0.15	+0.29
Matt Coronato	17.0	0	0	1	0.09	-0.45
Yan Kuznetsov	18.2	0	0	2	0.09	+0.11
Adam Klapka	9.9	0	0	1	0.08	-0.58
Zayne Parekh	18.2	0	0	1	0.08	-0.04
Matvei Gridin	15.5	0	0	2	0.08	-0.01
Jake Middleton	19.6	0	0	1	0.06	-0.26
Mikael Backlund	18.9	0	0	1	0.03	-0.56
William Stromgren	9.8	0	0	1	0.01	-0.53
Kevin Bahl	20.9	0	0	1	0.01	+0.18
Jonathan Castagna	14.0	0	0	0	0.00	-0.32

SEA skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Mackie Samoskevich	14.9	0	1	4	0.41	+0.21
Matty Beniers	18.9	1	0	1	0.35	+0.24
Kaapo Kakko	13.6	0	1	2	0.20	+0.29
Berkly Catton	15.3	1	0	1	0.06	+0.26
Brandon Montour	23.9	0	1	1	0.03	-0.01
Bobby McMann	19.6	0	0	5	0.74	+0.26
Chandler Stephenson	20.2	0	0	2	0.23	-0.52
Vince Dunn	23.5	0	0	4	0.21	+0.30
Jani Nyman	9.3	0	0	2	0.16	-0.03
Frederick Gaudreau	16.9	0	0	2	0.13	-0.47
Matthew Wood	17.6	0	0	1	0.10	-0.55
Jordan Eberle	17.2	0	0	1	0.10	+0.30
Adam Larsson	21.4	0	0	1	0.08	+0.21
Ben Meyers	10.5	0	0	1	0.03	+0.04
Ryker Evans	22.9	0	0	0	0.03	-0.05
Ryan Winterton	11.0	0	0	1	0.01	+0.07
Josh Mahura	13.2	0	0	0	0.00	-0.07
Ville Ottavainen	10.9	0	0	0	0.00	-0.31

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Joey Daccord	SEA	49	1	2.47	+1.47
Dustin Wolf	CGY	42	2	2.85	+0.85

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.