Wed Nov 4 · 2026-27
SJS2FINAL
7LAK
SJS 39%DESERVE TO WIN61% LAK
DESERVED
LAK earned it — a 61% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
SJSLAK
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| SJS | LAK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 7 |
| xG (all) | 2.70 | 3.95 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.57 | 2.23 |
| Shot attempts | 67 | 57 |
| Shots on goal | 32 | 27 |
SJS skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Misa | 15.6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.08 | -0.35 |
| Dmitry Orlov | 16.9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.16 |
| Macklin Celebrini | 22.7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.56 | +0.02 |
| Ivar Stenberg | 12.8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | -0.13 |
| Barclay Goodrow | 12.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.37 | +0.05 |
| Mason Marchment | 18.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.37 | -0.53 |
| Collin Graf | 17.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.23 | -0.19 |
| Will Smith | 21.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | -0.17 |
| Eric Pohlkamp | 17.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.19 | +0.08 |
| Ty Dellandrea | 11.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | +0.05 |
| Tyler Toffoli | 15.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | -0.10 |
| Filip Bystedt | 8.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | -0.03 |
| Kiefer Sherwood | 17.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | -0.62 |
| Darnell Nurse | 19.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.13 |
| Sam Dickinson | 18.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | -1.12 |
| Michael Kesselring | 18.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | +0.32 |
| Zack Ostapchuk | 10.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.04 |
| Jacob Trouba | 17.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.89 |
LAK skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Kempe | 17.4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0.63 | -0.05 |
| Artemi Panarin | 18.0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0.24 | +0.16 |
| Quinton Byfield | 20.7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.73 | +0.50 |
| Erik Haula | 14.5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.36 | +0.47 |
| Erik Gustafsson | 20.1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.10 | +0.29 |
| Alex Laferriere | 17.0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.55 | +0.13 |
| Joel Armia | 12.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.19 | +0.46 |
| Brandt Clarke | 18.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | +0.48 |
| Kenny Connors | 11.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | +0.40 |
| Brian Dumoulin | 17.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.06 |
| Corey Perry | 13.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.59 | +0.56 |
| Trevor Moore | 14.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.35 | +0.35 |
| Martin Chromiak | 9.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | -0.36 |
| Joel Edmundson | 17.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.11 |
| Drew Doughty | 22.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.44 |
| Mikey Anderson | 20.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.06 |
| Scott Laughton | 12.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.32 |
| Andre Lee | 12.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.32 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper | LAK | 47 | 2 | 2.70 | +0.70 |
| Yaroslav Askarov | SJS | 44 | 7 | 3.95 | -3.05 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.