Wed Nov 4 · 2026-27
CHI3FINAL
5FLA
CHI 34%DESERVE TO WIN66% FLA
DESERVED
FLA earned it — a 66% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
CHIFLA
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| CHI | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 5 |
| xG (all) | 1.89 | 3.60 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.18 | 1.85 |
| Shot attempts | 45 | 60 |
| Shots on goal | 20 | 30 |
CHI skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Bedard | 22.4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0.29 | -0.08 |
| Frank Nazar | 17.1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.28 | -0.26 |
| Ethan Del Mastro | 12.3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| Cole Smith | 14.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.20 | -0.18 |
| Roman Kantserov | 21.7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.19 | +0.00 |
| Sam Rinzel | 18.6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.11 | -0.11 |
| Oliver Moore | 12.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.41 | +0.09 |
| Anton Frondell | 19.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.24 | +0.07 |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 18.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | +0.30 |
| Ian Cole | 16.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.18 |
| Alex Vlasic | 21.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | -0.15 |
| Wyatt Kaiser | 22.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.47 |
| Artyom Levshunov | 21.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.33 |
| Jordan Greenway | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.82 |
| Ryan Greene | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.69 |
| Ryan Donato | 12.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 9.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.02 |
| Dillon Boucher | 8.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.37 |
FLA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandis Vilmanis | 13.5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.34 | +0.63 |
| Sam Reinhart | 18.1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1.02 | +0.98 |
| Carter Verhaeghe | 17.3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.61 | +0.83 |
| Brady Tkachuk | 16.9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.43 | -0.19 |
| Seth Jones | 21.6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.29 | +0.04 |
| Matthew Tkachuk | 15.2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.16 | -0.20 |
| Lars Eller | 18.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.34 | -0.33 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 23.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.26 | +0.60 |
| Anton Lundell | 16.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | -0.19 |
| Uvis Balinskis | 18.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | -0.04 |
| Cole Schwindt | 8.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | +0.39 |
| Niko Mikkola | 14.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.05 |
| Gustav Forsling | 23.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.78 |
| Bokondji Imama | 9.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.34 |
| Dmitry Kulikov | 17.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Eetu Luostarinen | 16.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.05 |
| Sam Bennett | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.43 |
| Garnet Hathaway | 11.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.24 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Markstrom | FLA | 30 | 3 | 1.89 | -1.11 |
| Spencer Knight | CHI | 44 | 4 | 3.60 | -0.40 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.