Tue Nov 3 · 2026-27
ANA5FINAL
4VAN
ANA 46%DESERVE TO WIN54% VAN
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — ANA had a 46% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
ANAVAN
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| ANA | VAN | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 5 | 4 |
| xG (all) | 2.33 | 2.58 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.60 | 1.79 |
| Shot attempts | 54 | 54 |
| Shots on goal | 22 | 23 |
ANA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beckett Sennecke | 21.3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0.35 | +0.21 |
| Cutter Gauthier | 18.5 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0.61 | -0.00 |
| Mikael Granlund | 20.2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.18 | +0.17 |
| Jackson LaCombe | 23.7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.24 |
| Tristan Luneau | 18.0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.24 | -0.53 |
| Pavel Mintyukov | 23.1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.09 | -0.31 |
| Leo Carlsson | 20.1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | -0.42 |
| Jeff Malott | 10.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.30 | +0.31 |
| Drew Helleson | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | +0.30 |
| Nikita Nesterenko | 9.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | +0.18 |
| Judd Caulfield | 12.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | -0.52 |
| Sam Colangelo | 9.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | -0.09 |
| Roger McQueen | 9.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.25 |
| Nico Myatovic | 10.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | -0.06 |
| Travis Mitchell | 15.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.23 |
| Alex Killorn | 17.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.45 |
| Noah Warren | 17.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.15 |
| Tim Washe | 16.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.19 |
VAN skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake DeBrusk | 19.4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.52 | +0.70 |
| Elias Pettersson | 23.1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.21 | +0.51 |
| Paul Cotter | 10.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.26 | -0.03 |
| Brock Boeser | 21.5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.23 | +0.65 |
| Liam Ohgren | 16.1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.19 | -0.71 |
| Marco Rossi | 15.9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.13 | -0.51 |
| Drew O'Connor | 15.6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.12 | +0.24 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 16.1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.07 | +0.28 |
| Linus Karlsson | 14.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | +0.32 |
| Brendan Gallagher | 11.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.24 | -0.21 |
| Jacob Quillan | 10.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | +0.25 |
| Jonathan Lekkerimäki | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | -0.56 |
| Filip Hronek | 27.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | -0.08 |
| Guillaume Brisebois | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | -0.14 |
| Zeev Buium | 24.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | +0.54 |
| Max Sasson | 11.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | -0.06 |
| Elias Pettersson | 21.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.53 |
| Victor Mancini | 9.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.32 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laurent Brossoit | ANA | 37 | 4 | 2.58 | -1.42 |
| Kevin Lankinen | VAN | 37 | 5 | 2.33 | -2.67 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.