Tue Nov 3 · 2026-27
COL2FINAL
7CBJ
COL 44%DESERVE TO WIN56% CBJ
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — CBJ had a 56% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
COLCBJ
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| COL | CBJ | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 7 |
| xG (all) | 3.31 | 3.80 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.42 | 2.93 |
| Shot attempts | 64 | 50 |
| Shots on goal | 29 | 24 |
COL skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon | 19.5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.35 | -0.34 |
| Cale Makar | 22.5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0.32 | +0.05 |
| Nazem Kadri | 14.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.39 | +0.20 |
| Sam Malinski | 19.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.46 |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 18.8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.50 | -0.17 |
| Devon Toews | 21.5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.25 | +0.16 |
| Jaden Schwartz | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.21 | +0.18 |
| T.J. Hughes | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | +0.26 |
| Parker Kelly | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.19 | -0.45 |
| Martin Necas | 18.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | -0.43 |
| Nicolas Roy | 13.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | +0.14 |
| Brent Burns | 18.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | -0.52 |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 13.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | -0.15 |
| Logan O'Connor | 11.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | -0.47 |
| Fedor Svechkov | 9.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | -0.49 |
| Brock Nelson | 15.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | +0.18 |
| Brett Kulak | 19.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Noah Juulsen | 15.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.28 |
CBJ skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Coyle | 20.3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0.63 | +0.25 |
| Mathieu Olivier | 17.7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.48 | +0.18 |
| Cole Sillinger | 17.7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.29 | -0.16 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 16.7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.21 | +0.44 |
| Zach Werenski | 24.5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.11 | +0.19 |
| Kent Johnson | 18.9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.38 | +0.29 |
| Sean Monahan | 14.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.36 | +0.28 |
| Ivan Provorov | 20.0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.20 | +0.46 |
| Conor Garland | 15.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.19 | -0.21 |
| Damon Severson | 19.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | +0.10 |
| Jake Christiansen | 15.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.06 |
| Denton Mateychuk | 20.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.19 |
| Adam Fantilli | 20.9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.61 | +0.30 |
| Luca Del Bel Belluz | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | -0.25 |
| Dante Fabbro | 16.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | +0.14 |
| Danton Heinen | 5.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | +0.18 |
| Matthew Knies | 17.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.35 |
| Ryan Lomberg | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.11 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Talbot | CBJ | 47 | 2 | 3.31 | +1.31 |
| Scott Wedgewood | COL | 16 | 4 | 1.41 | -2.59 |
| Mackenzie Blackwood | COL | 20 | 3 | 2.38 | -0.62 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.