Tue Nov 3 · 2026-27
DAL6FINAL
5WSH
DAL 53%DESERVE TO WIN47% WSH
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — DAL had a 53% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
DALWSH
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| DAL | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 6 | 5 |
| xG (all) | 3.36 | 2.72 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.60 | 2.08 |
| Shot attempts | 47 | 58 |
| Shots on goal | 22 | 25 |
DAL skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Robertson | 17.1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0.48 | +0.53 |
| Roope Hintz | 14.4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.20 | +0.17 |
| Wyatt Johnston | 16.2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.42 | +0.43 |
| Thomas Harley | 24.7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.29 |
| Arttu Hyry | 15.4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.63 | +0.34 |
| Mikko Rantanen | 18.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.46 | +0.30 |
| Joel Kiviranta | 13.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.24 | +0.39 |
| Radek Faksa | 13.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.16 | +0.16 |
| Tyler Myers | 21.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.15 |
| Esa Lindell | 26.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.24 |
| Jamie Benn | 12.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.22 |
| David Perron | 11.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.21 | +0.05 |
| Sam Steel | 16.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | -0.18 |
| Tyler Seguin | 13.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | +0.07 |
| Nils Lundkvist | 18.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | +0.64 |
| Lian Bichsel | 15.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.06 |
| Justin Hryckowian | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.47 |
| Miro Heiskanen | 9.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.09 |
WSH skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Kyrou | 17.1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.15 | -1.25 |
| Dylan Strome | 17.8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.30 | -1.06 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 26.8 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0.27 | -0.88 |
| Ryan Leonard | 12.9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.07 | +0.02 |
| Boone Jenner | 15.2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.28 | +0.19 |
| Justin Sourdif | 13.1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | +0.21 |
| Anthony Beauvillier | 12.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.16 | +0.06 |
| Cole Hutson | 22.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | -1.45 |
| Martin Fehérváry | 18.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.15 |
| Ilya Protas | 12.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Tom Wilson | 17.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.44 | +0.69 |
| Alex Tuch | 18.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.41 | -1.13 |
| Matt Roy | 20.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | +0.74 |
| Aliaksei Protas | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | +0.30 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 17.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | +0.20 |
| Pierre-Luc Dubois | 17.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.18 |
| Jack St. Ivany | 12.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.02 |
| Timothy Liljegren | 12.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.42 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lindgren | WSH | 20 | 2 | 2.06 | +0.06 |
| Jake Oettinger | DAL | 38 | 5 | 2.72 | -2.28 |
| Logan Thompson | WSH | 16 | 4 | 1.30 | -2.70 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.