Tue Nov 3 · 2026-27
VGK3FINAL
2PIT
VGK 41%DESERVE TO WIN59% PIT
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — VGK had a 41% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
VGKPIT
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| VGK | PIT | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 2 |
| xG (all) | 2.48 | 3.39 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.14 | 2.28 |
| Shot attempts | 40 | 56 |
| Shots on goal | 23 | 25 |
VGK skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Hertl | 15.2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.63 | +0.14 |
| Jack Eichel | 21.3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.76 |
| Trevor Connelly | 14.4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.49 | +0.11 |
| Mark Stone | 20.7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.30 | -0.86 |
| Mitch Marner | 21.6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.27 | -0.12 |
| Jeremy Lauzon | 16.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.73 |
| Brett Howden | 14.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | -0.90 |
| Rasmus Andersson | 19.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.21 | -0.64 |
| Nic Dowd | 9.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | -0.20 |
| Ivan Barbashev | 11.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | -0.21 |
| William Karlsson | 18.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | -0.31 |
| Dylan Coghlan | 12.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | -0.03 |
| Noah Hanifin | 20.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.35 |
| Brayden McNabb | 22.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.09 |
| Shea Theodore | 21.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.24 |
| Braeden Bowman | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.09 |
| Raphael Lavoie | 8.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.24 |
| Marc Gatcomb | 7.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.18 |
PIT skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Novak | 19.2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0.79 | +0.75 |
| Kaedan Korczak | 16.8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.84 |
| Rickard Rakell | 21.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.45 | +0.57 |
| Spencer Stastney | 14.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | +0.96 |
| Blake Lizotte | 17.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.54 | +0.34 |
| Nick Robertson | 16.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.36 | +0.50 |
| Ville Koivunen | 18.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.24 | +0.07 |
| Egor Chinakhov | 11.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.23 | +0.08 |
| Ben Kindel | 14.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.19 | +0.07 |
| Sidney Crosby | 20.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | +0.96 |
| Erik Karlsson | 24.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | +0.54 |
| Declan Carlile | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | -0.17 |
| Justin Brazeau | 8.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.22 |
| Kris Letang | 19.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | -0.28 |
| Hendrix Lapierre | 10.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.22 |
| Samuel Girard | 18.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.34 |
| Connor Dewar | 14.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.46 |
| Andrei Kuzmenko | 12.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.12 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adin Hill | VGK | 37 | 2 | 3.39 | +1.39 |
| Arturs Silovs | PIT | 31 | 3 | 2.48 | -0.52 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.