ON-ICE IQ · STL 1 @ NYR 3

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Tue Nov 3 · 2026-27

STL1

FINAL

3NYR

STL 40%DESERVE TO WIN60% NYR

DESERVED NYR earned it — a 60% chance to win on the shots.

Expected goals flow

STLNYR cumulative xG · dots = goals

	STL	NYR
Goals	1	3
xG (all)	2.98	4.07
xG (5v5)	1.75	2.51
Shot attempts	62	64
Shots on goal	33	31

STL skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Pius Suter	12.3	1	0	2	0.34	+0.15
Theo Lindstein	12.9	0	1	2	0.04	+0.15
Alexey Toropchenko	10.9	0	1	1	0.02	+0.15
Dylan Holloway	17.5	0	0	5	0.45	+0.07
Philip Broberg	27.6	0	0	4	0.38	-0.41
Pavel Buchnevich	18.8	0	0	3	0.34	-0.35
Mason McTavish	18.9	0	0	1	0.33	-0.93
Robert Thomas	22.1	0	0	2	0.30	+0.00
Jimmy Snuggerud	20.1	0	0	2	0.19	-0.01
Jake Neighbours	18.2	0	0	1	0.16	-0.52
Jonatan Berggren	11.5	0	0	2	0.13	-0.44
Adam Jiricek	17.3	0	0	0	0.10	-0.92
Justin Barron	18.8	0	0	3	0.08	+0.50
Dalibor Dvorsky	10.4	0	0	1	0.05	+0.01
Cam Fowler	19.2	0	0	2	0.03	-0.92
Brandon Carlo	17.3	0	0	1	0.02	+0.07
Ross Johnston	7.3	0	0	1	0.01	+0.08
Connor McMichael	14.4	0	0	0	0.00	-0.48

NYR skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
J.T. Miller	20.2	0	2	4	0.81	+0.14
Eeli Tolvanen	13.4	1	1	1	0.28	+0.22
Adam Fox	23.7	1	1	3	0.27	+0.30
Will Cuylle	18.3	0	1	3	0.72	+0.43
Oliver Bjorkstrand	11.0	1	0	3	0.44	-0.08
Tye Kartye	20.0	0	1	3	0.42	+0.16
Alexis Lafrenière	15.1	0	0	2	0.37	+0.58
Matt Rempe	8.5	0	0	1	0.27	+0.03
Mika Zibanejad	17.9	0	0	1	0.15	+0.62
Gabe Perreault	14.6	0	0	1	0.14	+0.17
Pavel Dorofeyev	13.2	0	0	1	0.13	+0.37
Noah Laba	14.3	0	0	0	0.11	-0.21
Braden Schneider	22.2	0	0	2	0.10	+0.42
Jaroslav Chmelar	8.7	0	0	2	0.07	-0.13
Scott Morrow	13.1	0	0	2	0.03	+0.29
Vladislav Gavrikov	21.4	0	0	1	0.01	+0.32
Marcus Pettersson	20.8	0	0	1	0.01	-0.05
Alberts Smits	13.3	0	0	0	0.00	+0.20

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Joel Hofer	STL	44	2	4.07	+2.07
Dylan Garand	NYR	44	1	2.98	+1.98

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.