Tue Nov 3 · 2026-27
EDM3FINAL SO
4NJD
EDM 37%DESERVE TO WIN63% NJD
DESERVED
NJD earned it — a 63% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
EDMNJD
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| EDM | NJD | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 4 |
| xG (all) | 2.02 | 3.32 |
| xG (5v5) | 0.78 | 1.72 |
| Shot attempts | 44 | 71 |
| Shots on goal | 21 | 34 |
EDM skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasperi Kapanen | 20.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.25 | -0.04 |
| Evan Bouchard | 27.4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | -0.41 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 19.5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | +0.09 |
| Leon Draisaitl | 22.8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.43 | -0.07 |
| Connor McDavid | 24.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.27 | -0.07 |
| Mattias Ekholm | 22.5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.05 | -0.32 |
| Colton Dach | 14.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.50 | -0.20 |
| Jake Walman | 11.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.19 | -0.12 |
| Alex Formenton | 10.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.60 |
| Vasily Podkolzin | 19.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.19 |
| Owen Michaels | 12.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.20 |
| Max Jones | 9.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.14 |
| Shakir Mukhamadullin | 15.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | -0.23 |
| Connor Murphy | 20.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.38 |
| Jason Dickinson | 11.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.62 |
| Ryan Shea | 23.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.41 |
| Filip Hallander | 12.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.21 |
| Mathieu Joseph | 10.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.58 |
NJD skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Hughes | 25.3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0.54 | +0.63 |
| Connor Brown | 16.6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.47 | +0.17 |
| Dougie Hamilton | 22.9 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0.49 | +0.92 |
| Jesper Bratt | 20.1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.34 | +0.27 |
| Luke Hughes | 28.7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Nico Hischier | 18.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.38 |
| Timo Meier | 20.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.37 | +0.45 |
| Luke Evangelista | 17.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.31 | +0.27 |
| Arseny Gritsyuk | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | +0.48 |
| Jesper Boqvist | 9.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | +0.20 |
| Anthony Mantha | 13.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | +0.02 |
| Brett Pesce | 20.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | -0.06 |
| Evan Rodrigues | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.24 |
| Declan Chisholm | 12.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.13 |
| Cody Glass | 9.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.22 |
| Amadeus Lombardi | 9.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.04 |
| Jonas Siegenthaler | 20.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | +0.97 |
| Johnathan Kovacevic | 13.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | -0.06 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck | NJD | 33 | 3 | 2.02 | -0.98 |
| Tristan Jarry | EDM | 55 | 3 | 3.32 | +0.32 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.