Tue Nov 3 · 2026-27
DET2FINAL
4TBL
DET 42%DESERVE TO WIN58% TBL
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — TBL had a 58% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
DETTBL
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| DET | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2 | 4 |
| xG (all) | 3.03 | 3.81 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.61 | 2.95 |
| Shot attempts | 44 | 71 |
| Shots on goal | 21 | 27 |
DET skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.T. Compher | 16.1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.17 | +0.15 |
| Lucas Raymond | 19.5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.39 | -0.80 |
| Andrew Copp | 19.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.60 |
| Justin Faulk | 19.9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | +0.22 |
| Michael Rasmussen | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.87 | +0.23 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 20.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.38 | -0.07 |
| Alex DeBrincat | 22.9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.32 | -0.06 |
| John Leonard | 11.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.28 | -0.84 |
| Moritz Seider | 30.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | -0.81 |
| Michael Brandsegg-Nygård | 14.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | -0.87 |
| Emmitt Finnie | 19.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | -0.12 |
| Ben Chiarot | 20.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.58 |
| Anton Johansson | 10.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.75 |
| William Wallinder | 15.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.18 |
| Andreas Englund | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.58 |
| Keegan Kolesar | 10.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.44 |
| Sheldon Dries | 10.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.34 |
| Carter Mazur | 8.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.27 |
TBL skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 18.4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.64 | -0.02 |
| Nikita Kucherov | 21.7 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.34 | +0.46 |
| Anthony Cirelli | 18.6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.49 | +0.46 |
| Charle-Edouard D'Astous | 18.2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.37 | -0.08 |
| Ryan McDonagh | 18.1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.28 | +0.16 |
| Gage Goncalves | 16.7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.22 | +0.73 |
| Erik Cernak | 18.8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | +0.29 |
| J.J. Moser | 14.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +1.26 |
| Ilya Mikheyev | 13.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | +0.26 |
| Max Crozier | 16.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.29 | +0.95 |
| Brandon Hagel | 22.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | +0.57 |
| Conor Geekie | 11.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | +0.65 |
| Dominic James | 10.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | -0.18 |
| Jeffrey Viel | 11.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.19 | +0.78 |
| Jake Guentzel | 19.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | +0.30 |
| Pontus Holmberg | 12.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | +0.03 |
| Victor Hedman | 13.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.00 |
| John Carlson | 16.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | +0.10 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Gibson | DET | 21 | 2 | 1.88 | -0.12 |
| Andrei Vasilevskiy | TBL | 33 | 2 | 3.03 | +1.03 |
| Daniil Tarasov | DET | 23 | 1 | 1.93 | +0.93 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.