Tue Nov 3 · 2026-27
WPG5FINAL OT
4MTL
WPG 61%DESERVE TO WIN39% MTL
DESERVED
WPG earned it — a 61% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
WPGMTL
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| WPG | MTL | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 5 | 4 |
| xG (all) | 5.01 | 3.15 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.22 | 1.87 |
| Shot attempts | 87 | 47 |
| Shots on goal | 47 | 22 |
WPG skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Connor | 27.8 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0.88 | +0.95 |
| Mark Scheifele | 28.1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.60 | +0.95 |
| Morgan Barron | 15.4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0.52 | -0.36 |
| Dylan DeMelo | 18.6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.20 | +0.06 |
| Tyrel Bauer | 10.7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.09 | +0.00 |
| Adam Lowry | 16.1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.42 | -0.17 |
| Gabriel Vilardi | 25.2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.35 | +0.95 |
| Dylan Samberg | 18.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | +0.82 |
| Cole Koepke | 6.9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.14 |
| Cole Perfetti | 21.1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.73 | -0.52 |
| Dawson Mercer | 19.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.34 | +0.16 |
| Elias Salomonsson | 17.6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.31 | +0.15 |
| Viggo Björck | 10.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | -0.15 |
| Neal Pionk | 23.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.13 | +0.29 |
| Mario Ferraro | 19.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | +0.06 |
| Alex Iafallo | 11.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.23 |
| Haydn Fleury | 7.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.57 |
| Nino Niederreiter | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.79 |
MTL skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Caufield | 17.4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.87 | -0.00 |
| Juraj Slafkovský | 16.5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.32 | -0.45 |
| Josh Anderson | 17.8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.29 | -0.26 |
| Noah Dobson | 20.2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.21 | -0.13 |
| Arber Xhekaj | 13.1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.14 | +0.53 |
| Florian Xhekaj | 8.9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.12 | +0.55 |
| Owen Beck | 9.4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | +0.48 |
| Lane Hutson | 24.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.02 |
| Kaiden Guhle | 25.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.77 |
| Chris Kreider | 13.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.36 |
| Oliver Kapanen | 11.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.52 | +0.47 |
| Alexandre Texier | 14.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.19 | -0.11 |
| Adam Engstrom | 14.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.19 | +0.41 |
| Zachary Bolduc | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | -0.09 |
| Phillip Danault | 18.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | -0.09 |
| Alex Newhook | 19.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.61 |
| Alexandre Carrier | 23.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.77 |
| Jake Evans | 19.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.56 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuart Skinner | WPG | 38 | 4 | 3.15 | -0.85 |
| Jacob Fowler | MTL | 63 | 5 | 5.01 | +0.01 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.