ON-ICE IQ · CGY 2 @ SJS 1

ON-ICE IQ ← ALL GAMES

Mon Nov 2 · 2026-27

CGY2

FINAL

1SJS

CGY 41%DESERVE TO WIN59% SJS

TOSS-UP A toss-up on the shots — CGY had a 41% chance and got it.

Expected goals flow

CGYSJS cumulative xG · dots = goals

	CGY	SJS
Goals	2	1
xG (all)	1.99	2.82
xG (5v5)	1.72	2.15
Shot attempts	41	71
Shots on goal	22	27

CGY skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Adam Klapka	11.6	1	1	2	0.07	+0.52
Jonathan Castagna	9.9	0	2	0	0.00	+0.10
William Stromgren	8.6	1	0	2	0.38	+0.44
Mikael Backlund	20.8	0	0	4	0.39	-0.53
Ryan Strome	13.2	0	0	1	0.35	-0.30
Aydar Suniev	14.9	0	0	0	0.29	-0.24
Yegor Sharangovich	17.4	0	0	2	0.20	-0.23
Yan Kuznetsov	16.2	0	0	2	0.15	+0.46
Martin Pospisil	13.6	0	0	0	0.14	-0.20
Jake Middleton	21.0	0	0	3	0.12	-0.08
Matvei Gridin	15.9	0	0	1	0.05	-0.15
Zayne Parekh	18.4	0	0	0	0.04	-0.01
Zach Whitecloud	22.4	0	0	1	0.03	+0.13
Joel Farabee	20.2	0	0	1	0.03	-0.45
Simon Nemec	17.4	0	0	2	0.02	-0.43
Morgan Frost	14.5	0	0	1	0.01	+0.06
Kevin Bahl	19.4	0	0	0	0.00	-0.78
Matt Coronato	18.6	0	0	0	0.00	-0.45

SJS skaters

Player	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	5v5 xG±
Sam Dickinson	18.9	1	0	2	0.20	-0.23
Jacob Trouba	25.6	0	1	6	0.18	-0.24
Kiefer Sherwood	19.4	0	1	2	0.18	+0.21
Will Smith	18.4	0	0	2	0.47	+0.48
Mason Marchment	21.2	0	0	0	0.44	+0.17
Ivar Stenberg	16.7	0	0	2	0.43	+0.21
Tyler Toffoli	17.0	0	0	6	0.31	+0.40
Macklin Celebrini	22.9	0	0	2	0.17	+0.49
Zack Ostapchuk	9.7	0	0	1	0.14	-0.46
Collin Graf	16.2	0	0	0	0.10	+0.21
Michael Misa	17.3	0	0	1	0.09	+0.20
Michael Kesselring	18.7	0	0	1	0.05	+0.75
Dmitry Orlov	12.7	0	0	1	0.03	-0.08
Darnell Nurse	21.4	0	0	0	0.01	+0.74
Nolan Allan	12.0	0	0	1	0.01	-0.08
Filip Bystedt	10.5	0	0	0	0.00	+0.29
Adam Gaudette	9.3	0	0	0	0.00	-0.47
Barclay Goodrow	8.1	0	0	0	0.00	-0.43

Goalies

Goalie	Team	Unbl. shots	GA	xGA	GSAx
Dustin Wolf	CGY	50	1	2.82	+1.82
Yaroslav Askarov	SJS	31	2	1.99	-0.01

DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.