Mon Nov 2 · 2026-27
COL5FINAL
2CHI
COL 53%DESERVE TO WIN47% CHI
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — COL had a 53% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
COLCHI
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| COL | CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 5 | 2 |
| xG (all) | 3.27 | 2.67 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.22 | 1.26 |
| Shot attempts | 60 | 56 |
| Shots on goal | 29 | 23 |
COL skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Hughes | 17.2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.63 | +0.11 |
| Nazem Kadri | 15.8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.45 | +0.45 |
| Jaden Schwartz | 15.4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.31 | +0.34 |
| Devon Toews | 20.8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.28 | +0.52 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 19.4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.45 | +0.10 |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 14.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.34 | +0.82 |
| Sam Malinski | 15.8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.12 | +0.94 |
| Cale Makar | 23.0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.05 | +0.18 |
| Brent Burns | 18.1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.05 | +0.05 |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 19.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.27 | +0.12 |
| Brock Nelson | 17.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | +0.41 |
| Logan O'Connor | 11.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | +0.31 |
| Martin Necas | 16.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | -0.19 |
| Nicolas Roy | 12.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | +0.54 |
| Noah Juulsen | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | +0.35 |
| Brett Kulak | 18.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.23 |
| Parker Kelly | 13.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.07 |
| Fedor Svechkov | 8.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.09 |
CHI skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Bedard | 21.3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.44 | -0.08 |
| Roman Kantserov | 16.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.22 | -0.28 |
| Ryan Donato | 12.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.11 | -0.19 |
| Wyatt Kaiser | 19.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.79 |
| Frank Nazar | 21.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.42 | -0.19 |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 18.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.31 | +0.24 |
| Oliver Moore | 14.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.23 | -0.85 |
| Anton Frondell | 17.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | -0.04 |
| Andrew Mangiapane | 10.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | +0.18 |
| Sam Rinzel | 16.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | -0.43 |
| Ryan Greene | 18.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | -0.83 |
| Cole Smith | 12.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | -0.18 |
| Ethan Del Mastro | 12.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | +0.28 |
| Ian Cole | 15.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | +0.07 |
| Patrick Kane | 10.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | -0.33 |
| Artyom Levshunov | 20.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | -0.60 |
| Alex Vlasic | 21.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.47 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 13.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.34 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood | COL | 41 | 2 | 2.67 | +0.67 |
| Spencer Knight | CHI | 46 | 4 | 3.27 | -0.73 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.