Mon Nov 2 · 2026-27
DET5FINAL
3FLA
DET 43%DESERVE TO WIN57% FLA
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — DET had a 43% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
DETFLA
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| DET | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 5 | 3 |
| xG (all) | 3.00 | 3.63 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.96 | 1.76 |
| Shot attempts | 46 | 69 |
| Shots on goal | 29 | 26 |
DET skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Brandsegg-Nygård | 16.9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.48 | -0.28 |
| Justin Faulk | 20.5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.34 | +0.19 |
| Moritz Seider | 27.5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.10 | -0.63 |
| Andrew Copp | 16.8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.01 | +0.10 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 18.2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0.48 | +0.22 |
| Emmitt Finnie | 18.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.40 | +0.25 |
| Alex DeBrincat | 18.6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.39 | +0.21 |
| Lucas Raymond | 18.2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.24 | -0.26 |
| Carter Mazur | 7.4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.25 |
| Michael Rasmussen | 15.2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.60 | +0.53 |
| J.T. Compher | 19.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.28 | +0.42 |
| John Leonard | 12.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | +0.20 |
| Sheldon Dries | 11.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.25 |
| Ben Chiarot | 20.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.31 |
| William Wallinder | 17.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.22 |
| Andreas Englund | 16.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.73 |
| Anton Johansson | 12.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.65 |
| Keegan Kolesar | 8.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.27 |
FLA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bennett | 19.0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.69 | +0.10 |
| Sam Reinhart | 20.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.66 | -0.09 |
| Brady Tkachuk | 19.3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.39 | +0.44 |
| Lars Eller | 17.4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.32 | +0.18 |
| Carter Verhaeghe | 18.9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.26 | -0.03 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 20.4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.19 | -0.58 |
| Matthew Tkachuk | 20.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.16 | +0.04 |
| Garnet Hathaway | 6.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.11 | -0.44 |
| Sandis Vilmanis | 13.6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | +0.01 |
| Anton Lundell | 19.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.36 | +0.23 |
| Eetu Luostarinen | 18.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | +0.22 |
| Niko Mikkola | 21.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | +0.04 |
| Cole Schwindt | 4.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | -0.44 |
| Seth Jones | 27.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | +0.23 |
| Gustav Forsling | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.77 |
| Dmitry Kulikov | 12.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | +0.16 |
| Radko Gudas | 12.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.18 |
| Bokondji Imama | 4.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.51 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Markstrom | FLA | 35 | 4 | 3.00 | -1.00 |
| Daniil Tarasov | DET | 51 | 3 | 3.63 | +0.63 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.