Sun Nov 1 · 2026-27
OTT3FINAL
6ANA
OTT 48%DESERVE TO WIN52% ANA
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — ANA had a 52% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
OTTANA
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| OTT | ANA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 6 |
| xG (all) | 2.71 | 2.69 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.07 | 1.15 |
| Shot attempts | 47 | 55 |
| Shots on goal | 22 | 33 |
OTT skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Giroux | 14.0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.28 | +0.44 |
| Jake Sanderson | 24.0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.18 | -0.08 |
| Philip Tomasino | 11.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.36 | +0.03 |
| Michael Amadio | 17.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.30 | +0.81 |
| Drake Batherson | 16.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.10 |
| Thomas Chabot | 19.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.47 |
| Artem Zub | 18.9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.03 |
| Fabian Zetterlund | 15.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.44 | +0.17 |
| Tim Stützle | 22.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.31 | +0.14 |
| Stephen Halliday | 10.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.24 | +0.22 |
| Tyler Kleven | 18.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | +0.48 |
| Shane Pinto | 19.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | +0.04 |
| Jordan Spence | 17.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | +0.40 |
| Nikolas Matinpalo | 16.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | +0.60 |
| Ridly Greig | 17.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | +0.50 |
| Dylan Cozens | 16.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.29 |
| Nick Cousins | 10.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.32 |
| Xavier Bourgault | 2.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.09 |
ANA skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter Gauthier | 19.0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0.54 | -0.27 |
| Judd Caulfield | 13.3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0.50 | +0.11 |
| Leo Carlsson | 20.7 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0.12 | -0.20 |
| Tristan Luneau | 20.2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.47 |
| Roger McQueen | 11.8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.36 | -0.08 |
| Nikita Nesterenko | 9.6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.23 | -0.11 |
| Jackson LaCombe | 28.1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.09 | -0.24 |
| Mikael Granlund | 20.1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.08 | -0.12 |
| Noah Warren | 11.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.12 |
| Beckett Sennecke | 20.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.46 | -0.22 |
| Jeff Malott | 8.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.13 | +0.13 |
| Alex Killorn | 16.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | -0.23 |
| Sam Colangelo | 10.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.70 |
| Tim Washe | 16.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.52 |
| Drew Helleson | 22.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.33 |
| A.J. Greer | 10.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | -0.55 |
| Pavel Mintyukov | 21.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.33 |
| Travis Mitchell | 9.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.35 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laurent Brossoit | ANA | 32 | 3 | 2.71 | -0.29 |
| Jonas Johansson | OTT | 42 | 6 | 2.69 | -3.31 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.