Sun Nov 1 · 2026-27
EDM4FINAL
1NYR
EDM 53%DESERVE TO WIN47% NYR
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — EDM had a 53% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
EDMNYR
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| EDM | NYR | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 1 |
| xG (all) | 2.99 | 2.47 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.96 | 1.93 |
| Shot attempts | 50 | 58 |
| Shots on goal | 25 | 28 |
EDM skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Bouchard | 25.7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.19 | +0.50 |
| Connor McDavid | 23.4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0.85 | +0.70 |
| Colton Dach | 14.9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.62 | -0.45 |
| Leon Draisaitl | 20.1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.57 | +0.52 |
| Ryan Shea | 21.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.09 |
| Filip Hallander | 8.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.24 | -0.03 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 20.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.22 | -0.46 |
| Kasperi Kapanen | 21.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.22 | -0.50 |
| Mattias Ekholm | 21.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | -0.20 |
| Alex Formenton | 12.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.09 | +0.05 |
| Trent Frederic | 9.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.03 |
| Vasily Podkolzin | 16.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | +0.52 |
| Jason Dickinson | 11.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | +0.11 |
| Connor Murphy | 19.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.65 |
| Shakir Mukhamadullin | 14.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.14 |
| Ty Emberson | 12.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.16 |
| Mathieu Joseph | 12.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Owen Michaels | 10.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.33 |
NYR skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavel Dorofeyev | 17.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.38 | +0.43 |
| Scott Morrow | 15.0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.17 | +0.45 |
| Mika Zibanejad | 20.1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0.16 | +0.20 |
| Alexis Lafrenière | 17.8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.43 | +0.20 |
| Gabe Perreault | 18.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | -0.03 |
| Tye Kartye | 17.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | -0.34 |
| Will Cuylle | 16.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | -0.09 |
| J.T. Miller | 20.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | +0.03 |
| Braden Schneider | 19.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | +0.03 |
| Vladislav Gavrikov | 20.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | -0.11 |
| Eeli Tolvanen | 11.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | +0.03 |
| Luke Glendening | 7.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | -0.08 |
| Adam Fox | 23.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | -0.12 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand | 13.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | -0.22 |
| Marcus Pettersson | 20.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | -0.38 |
| Alberts Smits | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.05 |
| Noah Laba | 12.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.26 |
| Taylor Raddysh | 7.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Tomkins | EDM | 41 | 1 | 2.47 | +1.47 |
| Dylan Garand | NYR | 35 | 3 | 2.99 | -0.01 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.