Sun Nov 1 · 2026-27
MIN5FINAL
1WSH
MIN 46%DESERVE TO WIN54% WSH
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — MIN had a 46% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
MINWSH
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| MIN | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 5 | 1 |
| xG (all) | 2.97 | 3.27 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.17 | 2.87 |
| Shot attempts | 62 | 66 |
| Shots on goal | 29 | 27 |
MIN skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Brink | 16.2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0.23 | -0.41 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 19.6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.16 | -0.10 |
| Kirill Kaprizov | 21.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.73 | -0.05 |
| Matt Boldy | 21.3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.68 | +0.07 |
| Danila Yurov | 14.8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.31 | +0.23 |
| Max Shabanov | 14.2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.30 | -0.05 |
| Michael McCarron | 13.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.24 | -0.69 |
| Quinn Hughes | 29.7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.19 | -0.14 |
| Nico Sturm | 9.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.11 | +0.21 |
| Blake Coleman | 16.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.91 |
| David Spacek | 12.4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | -0.03 |
| Jonas Brodin | 23.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.10 |
| Ryan Hartman | 13.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.31 | -0.14 |
| Tyler Pitlick | 10.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | -0.05 |
| Olli Maatta | 19.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | -0.25 |
| Yakov Trenin | 12.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.20 |
| Matt Kiersted | 11.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | -0.20 |
| Zach Bogosian | 18.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.68 |
WSH skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Sourdif | 13.1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.35 | +0.35 |
| Cole Hutson | 20.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.16 | +1.59 |
| Anthony Beauvillier | 10.4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | +0.15 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 13.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.71 | +1.01 |
| Alex Tuch | 18.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.52 | +0.66 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 27.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.44 | +0.62 |
| Aliaksei Protas | 17.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.27 | +0.09 |
| Tom Wilson | 18.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | +0.04 |
| Pierre-Luc Dubois | 17.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.17 | +0.22 |
| Dylan Strome | 18.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | +0.11 |
| Jack St. Ivany | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.13 | +0.60 |
| Ryan Leonard | 12.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | -0.37 |
| Ilya Protas | 8.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | +0.20 |
| Matt Roy | 21.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | -0.02 |
| Martin Fehérváry | 20.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.73 |
| Boone Jenner | 15.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.35 |
| Jordan Kyrou | 14.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.00 |
| Timothy Liljegren | 13.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.66 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson | WSH | 41 | 4 | 2.97 | -1.03 |
| Jesper Wallstedt | MIN | 46 | 1 | 3.27 | +2.27 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.