Sun Nov 1 · 2026-27
WPG0FINAL
7CAR
WPG 33%DESERVE TO WIN67% CAR
DESERVED
CAR earned it — a 67% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
WPGCAR
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| WPG | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 7 |
| xG (all) | 2.90 | 5.07 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.95 | 2.83 |
| Shot attempts | 58 | 71 |
| Shots on goal | 26 | 32 |
WPG skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Perfetti | 15.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.47 | -0.41 |
| Mark Scheifele | 20.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.46 | +0.17 |
| Alex Iafallo | 14.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.45 | +0.17 |
| Neal Pionk | 22.9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.31 | -0.38 |
| Gabriel Vilardi | 16.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.30 | -0.41 |
| Morgan Barron | 14.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| Dawson Mercer | 15.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.19 | -0.37 |
| Kyle Connor | 19.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | -0.27 |
| Nino Niederreiter | 14.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.09 | +0.30 |
| Elias Salomonsson | 19.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | -0.22 |
| Dylan Samberg | 21.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.07 |
| Viggo Björck | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | +0.09 |
| Mario Ferraro | 13.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.47 |
| Isak Rosen | 10.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | -0.22 |
| Haydn Fleury | 16.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.38 |
| Dylan DeMelo | 20.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.23 |
| Adam Lowry | 14.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| Tyrel Bauer | 8.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.49 |
CAR skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Stankoven | 13.4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.37 | +0.75 |
| Sebastian Aho | 21.3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.72 | -0.34 |
| Seth Jarvis | 16.3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.59 | +0.53 |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | 13.4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0.54 | +0.83 |
| Sean Walker | 21.3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0.27 | +0.12 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | 17.4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.17 |
| Mark Jankowski | 15.8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.48 | +0.55 |
| Andrei Svechnikov | 17.6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.45 | -0.04 |
| Jackson Blake | 15.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.37 | +0.88 |
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi | 13.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.24 | -0.08 |
| Eric Robinson | 14.6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.20 | -0.35 |
| Juuso Välimäki | 15.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | +0.51 |
| Jordan Martinook | 14.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.34 | +0.80 |
| Nicolas Deslauriers | 11.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.21 | -0.42 |
| William Carrier | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | -0.35 |
| Jaccob Slavin | 20.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | +0.24 |
| K'Andre Miller | 22.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | +1.02 |
| Jalen Chatfield | 17.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.45 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuart Skinner | WPG | 32 | 5 | 3.29 | -1.71 |
| Pyotr Kochetkov | CAR | 43 | 0 | 2.90 | +2.90 |
| Clay Stevenson | WPG | 23 | 2 | 1.78 | -0.22 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.