Sat Oct 31 · 2026-27
CBJ1FINAL
3DAL
CBJ 50%DESERVE TO WIN50% DAL
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — DAL had a 50% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
CBJDAL
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| CBJ | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 3 |
| xG (all) | 2.33 | 2.14 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.94 | 1.22 |
| Shot attempts | 52 | 34 |
| Shots on goal | 25 | 17 |
CBJ skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Werenski | 28.0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.38 | +0.53 |
| Kent Johnson | 19.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.31 | +0.39 |
| Damon Severson | 20.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.19 | -0.14 |
| Adam Fantilli | 24.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.24 | +0.33 |
| Charlie Coyle | 23.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.23 | +0.56 |
| Mathieu Olivier | 12.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | -0.09 |
| Sean Monahan | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | -0.09 |
| Cole Sillinger | 15.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | +0.43 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 17.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.15 | +0.04 |
| Jake Christiansen | 11.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | +0.49 |
| Conor Garland | 14.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | +0.22 |
| Danton Heinen | 11.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | +0.04 |
| Denton Mateychuk | 21.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | +0.56 |
| Ivan Provorov | 19.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.24 |
| Dante Fabbro | 12.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.30 |
| Matthew Knies | 17.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.31 |
| Ryan Lomberg | 8.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.00 |
| Erik Gudbranson | 4.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.06 |
DAL skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arttu Hyry | 15.3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.45 | -0.02 |
| Miro Heiskanen | 27.0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.06 |
| Wyatt Johnston | 19.1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.83 | -0.35 |
| Mikko Rantanen | 18.8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.55 | -0.06 |
| Jason Robertson | 16.6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.20 | -0.35 |
| Thomas Harley | 22.8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | -0.17 |
| Jamie Benn | 15.8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.14 |
| Tyler Seguin | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.28 | -0.47 |
| David Perron | 11.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | +0.02 |
| Tyler Myers | 12.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | -0.26 |
| Roope Hintz | 16.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | -0.36 |
| Joel Kiviranta | 9.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.15 |
| Esa Lindell | 23.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.16 |
| Nils Lundkvist | 20.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.37 |
| Sam Steel | 18.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.14 |
| Lian Bichsel | 12.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.21 |
| Justin Hryckowian | 12.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| Colin Blackwell | 9.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.15 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger | DAL | 37 | 1 | 2.33 | +1.33 |
| Jet Greaves | CBJ | 24 | 2 | 2.14 | +0.14 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.