Sat Oct 31 · 2026-27
TOR4FINAL
2VAN
TOR 50%DESERVE TO WIN50% VAN
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — TOR had a 50% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
TORVAN
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| TOR | VAN | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 2 |
| xG (all) | 2.88 | 2.61 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.04 | 1.46 |
| Shot attempts | 53 | 61 |
| Shots on goal | 28 | 28 |
TOR skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Blueger | 15.4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.35 | -0.31 |
| William Nylander | 19.7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.16 | -0.11 |
| Auston Matthews | 20.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.36 | -0.04 |
| Jack Roslovic | 17.7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.26 | -0.16 |
| Nick Paul | 17.5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.18 | -0.09 |
| Zack MacEwen | 9.3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.14 | +0.29 |
| Darren Raddysh | 21.8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.14 | -0.03 |
| Morgan Rielly | 18.0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.09 | +0.31 |
| Jake McCabe | 23.3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.35 |
| Dakota Joshua | 11.0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.62 | +1.05 |
| Gavin McKenna | 12.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.44 | +0.77 |
| Troy Stecher | 16.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | +0.50 |
| Easton Cowan | 13.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | -0.67 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 18.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | +0.91 |
| Vinni Lettieri | 10.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.37 |
| Chris Tanev | 19.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.17 |
| Colton Sissons | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +1.02 |
| Brandon Duhaime | 12.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.40 |
VAN skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Sasson | 12.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.28 | +0.35 |
| Jonathan Lekkerimäki | 19.0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.22 | +0.04 |
| Brendan Gallagher | 10.2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.21 | +0.36 |
| Brock Boeser | 19.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | -0.63 |
| Filip Hronek | 26.9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.12 | -0.31 |
| Marco Rossi | 17.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.64 | -0.16 |
| Jake DeBrusk | 17.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.48 | -0.44 |
| Paul Cotter | 14.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | +0.35 |
| Liam Ohgren | 13.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | -0.35 |
| Drew O'Connor | 14.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | -0.15 |
| Linus Karlsson | 14.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | -0.35 |
| Jacob Quillan | 12.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.37 |
| Elias Pettersson | 20.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | -0.22 |
| Zeev Buium | 22.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | -0.92 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 11.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.23 |
| Luke Schenn | 10.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.36 |
| Elias Pettersson | 21.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.41 |
| Tom Willander | 19.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.40 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Stolarz | TOR | 39 | 2 | 2.61 | +0.61 |
| Leevi Meriläinen | VAN | 39 | 3 | 2.88 | -0.12 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.