Sat Oct 31 · 2026-27
PIT4FINAL
5MTL
PIT 56%DESERVE TO WIN44% MTL
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — MTL had a 44% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
PITMTL
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| PIT | MTL | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 5 |
| xG (all) | 3.84 | 2.83 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.06 | 1.92 |
| Shot attempts | 70 | 47 |
| Shots on goal | 29 | 27 |
PIT skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby | 20.4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.95 | +0.86 |
| Erik Karlsson | 23.6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0.14 | +0.21 |
| Tommy Novak | 18.0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.61 | +1.22 |
| Rickard Rakell | 22.0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.24 | +1.05 |
| Ben Kindel | 16.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.40 | +0.08 |
| Samuel Girard | 21.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.38 | +0.30 |
| Andrei Kuzmenko | 10.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.24 | -0.63 |
| Egor Chinakhov | 14.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | -0.36 |
| Spencer Stastney | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.18 | -0.07 |
| Kris Letang | 18.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | -0.18 |
| Declan Carlile | 18.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | -0.13 |
| Hendrix Lapierre | 10.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | -0.68 |
| Evgeni Malkin | 17.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | -0.04 |
| Kaedan Korczak | 18.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | +0.14 |
| Ville Koivunen | 13.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.62 |
| Blake Lizotte | 12.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
| Connor Dewar | 12.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.19 |
| Nick Robertson | 10.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.33 |
MTL skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Anderson | 15.0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0.20 | +0.41 |
| Chris Kreider | 12.2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0.49 | +0.48 |
| Lane Hutson | 23.8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.19 |
| Alexandre Texier | 14.5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.29 | +0.04 |
| Owen Beck | 8.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.21 | +0.14 |
| Oliver Kapanen | 11.1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | +0.02 |
| Phillip Danault | 19.9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.18 | -0.09 |
| Jake Evans | 17.7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.18 | +0.51 |
| Arber Xhekaj | 13.7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.43 |
| Florian Xhekaj | 7.6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.19 |
| Zachary Bolduc | 16.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.28 | +0.04 |
| Juraj Slafkovský | 17.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.27 | -0.72 |
| Alex Newhook | 18.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | -0.69 |
| Adam Engstrom | 11.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | +0.40 |
| Noah Dobson | 20.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | -0.26 |
| Cole Caufield | 18.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | -0.73 |
| Kaiden Guhle | 24.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.61 |
| Alexandre Carrier | 21.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.42 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergei Murashov | PIT | 35 | 5 | 2.83 | -2.17 |
| Jacob Fowler | MTL | 48 | 4 | 3.84 | -0.16 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.