Sat Oct 31 · 2026-27
OTT5FINAL
1SJS
OTT 71%DESERVE TO WIN29% SJS
DESERVED
OTT earned it — a 71% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
OTTSJS
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| OTT | SJS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 5 | 1 |
| xG (all) | 4.96 | 2.02 |
| xG (5v5) | 2.74 | 1.27 |
| Shot attempts | 80 | 42 |
| Shots on goal | 35 | 23 |
OTT skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Stützle | 20.2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1.38 | +0.84 |
| Dylan Cozens | 17.3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1.14 | +0.83 |
| Shane Pinto | 17.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.28 | +0.20 |
| Jake Sanderson | 22.8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.70 |
| Ridly Greig | 18.7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.56 | +0.52 |
| Drake Batherson | 16.2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.47 | +0.36 |
| Thomas Chabot | 19.0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.24 | +0.93 |
| Philip Tomasino | 12.2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.13 | +0.29 |
| Artem Zub | 18.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | +0.49 |
| Michael Amadio | 17.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.45 | +0.43 |
| Stephen Halliday | 8.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | -0.17 |
| Fabian Zetterlund | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | +0.97 |
| Jordan Spence | 18.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | +0.48 |
| Tyler Kleven | 19.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | +0.04 |
| Nick Cousins | 10.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.17 |
| Nikolas Matinpalo | 18.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | +0.30 |
| Claude Giroux | 15.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.48 |
| Xavier Bourgault | 7.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.18 |
SJS skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Misa | 14.7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.58 | +0.20 |
| Jacob Trouba | 22.7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.32 | -0.10 |
| Kiefer Sherwood | 11.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.18 |
| Mason Marchment | 14.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.42 | +0.11 |
| Will Smith | 17.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.30 | -0.21 |
| Macklin Celebrini | 19.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | -0.34 |
| Michael Kesselring | 21.4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.07 | -0.63 |
| Filip Bystedt | 15.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.77 |
| Sam Dickinson | 18.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.25 |
| Nolan Allan | 14.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.70 |
| Ivar Stenberg | 15.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.88 |
| Tyler Toffoli | 14.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.76 |
| Dmitry Orlov | 16.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.53 |
| Darnell Nurse | 21.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| Ty Dellandrea | 16.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.61 |
| Collin Graf | 13.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.08 |
| Barclay Goodrow | 13.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.46 |
| Zack Ostapchuk | 13.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.71 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Nedeljkovic | SJS | 59 | 4 | 4.96 | +0.96 |
| Samuel Ersson | OTT | 32 | 1 | 2.02 | +1.02 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.