Sat Oct 31 · 2026-27
BUF3FINAL
2LAK
BUF 33%DESERVE TO WIN67% LAK
STOLE IT
BUF stole it — only a 33% chance to win on the shots.
Expected goals flow
BUFLAK
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| BUF | LAK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 2 |
| xG (all) | 2.31 | 4.23 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.34 | 2.46 |
| Shot attempts | 62 | 81 |
| Shots on goal | 31 | 29 |
BUF skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tage Thompson | 20.1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0.73 | -0.45 |
| Zach Benson | 23.3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0.29 | -0.44 |
| Jack Quinn | 17.5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.10 | -0.24 |
| Rasmus Dahlin | 23.4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.05 | -0.35 |
| Mattias Samuelsson | 26.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | -0.48 |
| Jason Zucker | 8.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.29 | -0.09 |
| Peyton Krebs | 15.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.28 | -0.36 |
| Owen Power | 27.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.23 | -0.46 |
| Josh Doan | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.17 | -0.40 |
| Noah Ostlund | 18.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.16 | -0.41 |
| Sam Carrick | 7.6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.13 | -0.16 |
| Zach Metsa | 10.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | +0.02 |
| Josh Norris | 9.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | -0.17 |
| Olen Zellweger | 19.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | -0.67 |
| Louis Crevier | 10.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.29 |
| Ryan McLeod | 14.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.17 |
| Beck Malenstyn | 12.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.28 |
| Tyson Kozak | 11.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.18 |
LAK skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Perry | 21.2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1.69 | +0.21 |
| Andre Lee | 9.5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.47 | +0.33 |
| Brandt Clarke | 18.7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.33 | +0.48 |
| Joel Armia | 10.7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.07 | +0.43 |
| Trevor Moore | 18.5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.04 | +0.15 |
| Scott Laughton | 11.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.23 |
| Alex Laferriere | 23.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.58 | +0.82 |
| Martin Chromiak | 17.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.44 | +0.76 |
| Artemi Panarin | 24.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.31 | +0.70 |
| Erik Haula | 11.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | -0.09 |
| Brian Dumoulin | 14.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | +0.20 |
| Quinton Byfield | 22.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | +0.28 |
| Mikey Anderson | 18.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | +0.18 |
| Erik Gustafsson | 21.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.41 |
| Drew Doughty | 23.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.44 |
| Joel Edmundson | 18.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.52 |
| Taylor Ward | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.26 |
| Samuel Helenius | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.21 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton Forsberg | LAK | 40 | 3 | 2.31 | -0.69 |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | BUF | 49 | 2 | 4.23 | +2.23 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.