Sat Oct 31 · 2026-27
EDM4FINAL
0NYI
EDM 54%DESERVE TO WIN46% NYI
TOSS-UP
A toss-up on the shots — EDM had a 54% chance and got it.
Expected goals flow
EDMNYI
cumulative xG · dots = goals
| EDM | NYI | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 0 |
| xG (all) | 2.63 | 2.01 |
| xG (5v5) | 1.31 | 1.34 |
| Shot attempts | 49 | 40 |
| Shots on goal | 24 | 18 |
EDM skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 18.8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1.04 | -0.06 |
| Leon Draisaitl | 19.7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.47 | +0.36 |
| Vasily Podkolzin | 14.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.28 | +0.45 |
| Jason Dickinson | 12.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.28 | -0.12 |
| Connor McDavid | 23.3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.23 | +0.39 |
| Kasperi Kapanen | 19.4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.14 | +0.52 |
| Evan Bouchard | 22.0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.13 | +0.41 |
| Mathieu Joseph | 15.1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | -0.37 |
| Mattias Ekholm | 20.7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.51 |
| Colton Dach | 14.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | +0.07 |
| Alex Formenton | 13.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | -0.49 |
| Trent Frederic | 9.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | -0.15 |
| Owen Michaels | 13.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | -0.68 |
| Connor Murphy | 20.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | -0.57 |
| Shakir Mukhamadullin | 15.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.16 |
| Ryan Shea | 22.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.36 |
| Ty Emberson | 11.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.12 |
| Isaac Howard | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.00 |
NYI skaters
| Player | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | 5v5 xG± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Horvat | 20.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.40 | -0.19 |
| Kyle Palmieri | 17.4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.39 | +0.12 |
| Matthew Kessel | 14.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.30 | +0.71 |
| Victor Eklund | 15.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.24 | +0.22 |
| Simon Holmstrom | 20.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.22 | +0.26 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 17.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | -0.04 |
| Tony DeAngelo | 20.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | -0.30 |
| Mitchell Chaffee | 9.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | -0.20 |
| Matthew Schaefer | 24.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | -0.32 |
| Scott Mayfield | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | +0.43 |
| Adam Pelech | 19.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | -0.54 |
| Kyle MacLean | 11.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | -0.23 |
| Casey Cizikas | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | +0.21 |
| Logan Stanley | 21.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.07 |
| Brayden Schenn | 17.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.14 |
| Anthony Duclair | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.09 |
| Ondrej Palat | 15.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.11 |
| Emil Heineman | 0.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.00 |
Goalies
| Goalie | Team | Unbl. shots | GA | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Jarry | EDM | 30 | 0 | 2.01 | +2.01 |
| Ilya Sorokin | NYI | 35 | 3 | 2.63 | -0.37 |
DtW replays every unblocked, non-empty-net shot by its xG (shootout excluded; a tie = coin
flip), calibrated against real results — so it reads as "teams with these shots win X%". ixG = expected goals from a player's own shots. 5v5 xG± = 5v5 xG for minus
against while he was on the ice. GSAx = expected goals against minus goals allowed.